Tom Bilyeu

I'm sure they're not entirely sure exactly what's going on.

The IRGC has specifically identified the downed aircraft as an F-35, which isn't true again.

We already talked about that.

The physical wreckage is showing that this was an F-15E aircraft.

It also remains possible that images of the wreckage have been manipulated.

So a lot of question marks, very few answers at this point.

There are two separate claimed locations for where this happened, the Strait of Hormuz and central Iran.

So it's unclear whether these refer to the same aircraft or they're separate incidences.

Unclear, unclear right now.

As of now, the Pentagon has not made any official statement regarding the IRGC's claim and CENTCOM has not commented on the photos or debris at the time that we're reporting on this.

Given the ongoing operations to rescue the pilots, official confirmation or denial is probably largely being withheld just to try to make sure that we get on the other side of this so we don't give away any information that we don't need to.

So...

At this point, you can just assume this is a credible claim that a U.S.

fighter has been shot down over Iranian territory.

And it's really the first one since the war began because the other one that was hit managed to get outside and land safely.

So we'll see how all of this plays out.

But as we said at the top.

Obviously, we are hoping that this goes well for the American pilots, that they are rescued safely and returned back to base.

But we're going to have to face a very uncomfortable truth that we do not have the level of total supremacy over the air that we're being told that we do.

And that's going to change the way that we move forward.