Tom Gardner

And that is a precursor

you know, to volatility.

The second thing is the PE on the S&P 500 is over 25.

We're at over 25 times earnings.

You can look back throughout history at great investors like Peter Lynch saying, you know, the market moves between a 10X multiple and 20X multiple.

And you know, says Peter Lynch, when it's at 20x, you know you're richly priced because it's almost never gone above 20x in history.

Well, the time he was giving that interview, it was true.

There really had not been a time where the general U.S.

market was above 20 times earnings.

We're now above 25 times earnings.

We're definitely gonna have higher margins from the deployment of AI.

We're gonna see productivity gains like we've never seen before in American business.

So that has to be reflected in valuation.

And that is part of what's happening.

But have we gone too far?

Well, we're at about six and a half times sales on the NASDAQ companies, about 3.3 times sales on S&P companies.

That is...

pretty much unmatched in the last 25 years.

So we're looking at peak valuations today or near peak valuations.

Can they go higher?