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Tom Giles

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
362 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

And now we bring you the investment perspective.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Martin Norton's here with us, Chief Investment Strategist of Empower, which administers more than $1.6 trillion in assets.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

And that's about the same amount that's been wiped off the Nasdaq 100 since the end of October.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Is there room to the downside here?

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Or are you thinking there's some sort of relief rally from any data we get from Jensen later?

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Well, I don't think you can ever count out a relief rally.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

But what I come back to when we look at the price action that we've seen over the past few weeks is that we have taken some froth off the top, but we're not looking at really attractive valuations at this point.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

We're still at elevated valuations for a lot of these names.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

And what's interesting, and Ed alluded to this, the questions that people are raising in the current environment, I don't think they're necessarily going to be

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

conclusively answered with Nvidia's report, right?

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

The depreciation question, the demand question, extending to the rest of the economy.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

I think those doubts are with us, which would mean potentially more volatility.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Well, if Jensen can't tell us how long his GPUs are going to last and what the depreciation of them are,

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

I'm not sure anyone can, but you're so right that that has been, again, an argument about why perhaps the valuations are flush.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

But you look at Nvidia, trading about 30 times future earnings.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

That's not that elevated.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

So is it the rest of the trade, the palantirs or perhaps some of the energy stocks that have risen to extraordinary degrees?

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

Well, I think you raise a good point.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

It's not that elevated, especially if you're focused on that right side of the probability distribution.

Bloomberg Tech
All Eyes on Nvidia Ahead of Earnings

If you're looking at a full probability distribution and you come to the conclusion that, I don't know if I share, but some folks are raising, hey, this isn't as transformative as people have suggested it is.