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Tom McKenzie

👤 Person
73 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

Yeah, absolutely.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

Michael Burry putting on famously short positions, so shorting the stocks of Nvidia and Palantir before he wrapped up his fund.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

His concern does focus on the depreciation of some of these assets.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

By assets, I'm talking about specifically these AI chips, very expensive AI accelerators, 90%.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

of the market share is dominated by Nvidia.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

So across the sale of these chips, Nvidia has that significant market gain versus its rivals.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

And the concern is that as you get newer versions of these chips, the older ones essentially become less valuable and Michael Burry

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

making the argument that companies, the hyperscalers, so the Microsofts and Alphabets and Metas of the world, are not properly accounting for how quickly these assets depreciate.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

The other part of the concern, and it kind of ties into this, that you hear voice from the sceptics around the AI bubble, is that there are comparisons, they say, with what happened in the late 1990s.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

1999, early 2000, the dot-com bubble, when it was the telecom equipment makers that, leading up

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

to all of the online expectations around how our digital economy was going to change, spent huge amounts of money on building the infrastructure to power the dot-com era, and ended up losing a lot of money because the gains didn't come as quickly.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

The technology didn't evolve as rapidly as they had expected.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

Of course, on the back of that, you did get...

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

some very significant players like Amazon, who came through the dot-com bubble and, of course, now remain one of the most valuable companies on the planet.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

But there was a lot of capital, there was a lot of investment that was burnt in that process.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

And so that is another comparison that people are making.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

It's the depreciation around the assets and the chips that they're worried about, but also comparisons with what happened during the dot-com era and the pain that was felt by those telecom equipment makers that sunk so much money and to which they accumulated huge losses.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

So pushback to the depreciation argument would come from NVIDIA.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

And we've heard that recently from the CEO, Jensen Huang.

Bloomberg Tech
Special Episode: Here's Why AI Costs Still Worry Investors

And he's made the case that, in fact, even their older AI chips, one of their older versions is called Hopper.

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