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Traci Alloway

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
680 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

How exactly did we get here?

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

I think it was a willingness of these sponsors to come in and say, all right, I'm going to pay 16 or 17 times enterprise value to EBITDA for this business.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

And I'm going to put in an unusually large check.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

Let's say 40% of that I will put in in equity instead of the typical 20%.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

So historically, people have in the LBO space, they were coming to the high yield market saying, we'll put 20% down, finance the other 80%.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

If they go to the private credit guys and say, well, we'll put 40% down if you'll lend to us on the balance.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

We love this business at 16 times.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

And I think they potentially persuaded a lot of these

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

lenders to get a little bit too far out over their skis in terms of the amount of leverage that they were willing to extend.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

And as a private credit lender, if it's just you or if it's just you and one other, you can be a lot more creative in terms of structure.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

And I think they also took on this willingness to say, OK, well, you can't afford to pay me this interest.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

So how about if we pick it?

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

Because if we pick it, my investment will grow and it'll give me sort of

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

quasi-equity-like feel because it's getting bigger.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

So that's kind of intriguing to me too.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

So I think there was a little bit of lender overzealousness.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

I think there was a competitive pressure.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

I think that they fell prey to some of the sponsors' willingness to overpay for some of these businesses.

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

So when I hear secured credit that might not have that much security behind it, as we just discussed with the example of the software companies, and then when I hear increasing amounts of leverage on the issuer side, but also on the fund side because you have private credit funds that use leverage to increase their returns, and then when I hear illiquidity mismatches between a publicly traded BDC and the underlying assets,

Odd Lots
What's Actually Going On With Private Credit

All of those sound very familiar from financial crisis history and have certain negative connotations around them.