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Tracy Alloway

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2262 total appearances
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Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

How much do the spot prices actually matter at this moment in time?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Because, you know, you can look up something like Dubai Oman or some type of oil that you would assume would be maybe flowing into East Asia and you can look at the spot price.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

But like if it's not actually moving, does that like moving out of the Strait of Hormuz into Asia, does that mean anything?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So you mentioned refineries there.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And one of the headlines that's come up recently is Asian refining margins slip into negative territory, which would seem like a bad thing if you're a refiner.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And I take the point that you need to keep these assets going because it's hard to shut them down and then restart them again.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

But if you're not making any money, how long are these refiners actually going to keep going for?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

For Asia, how much of a role does Russian oil play right now in terms of replacing lost Middle Eastern supply?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Wait, say more.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Yeah.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Oil as geopolitical tool is a tale as old as... As old as time.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

I was going to say time, but I guess as old as, what, 200 years or something like that.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Okay.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So we were talking about the potential for an energy crisis to actually hasten decarbonization efforts in Asia.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

And this is something that came up before on an episode we did on China's teapot refineries.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Are you seeing rumblings of that at the moment or are people still in sort of wait and see mode?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Follow Leaders with Francine Lacroix wherever you get your podcasts.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Yeah.

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

Sending coal aside for a second, when you look at alternate sources of energy, do you have like, I don't want to say a personal favorite, but which one of them do you think comes out on top in the sort of medium to longer term from this particular situation?

Odd Lots
Presenting What Next TBD: Why Everyone is Freaking out About Private Credit

So one of the things that stood out from a previous episode we did on the energy situation with our Bloomberg colleague, Javier Blas, was he was talking about how the world is still very much divided between, you know, I guess east of the Suez Canal and west of the Suez Canal.