Trita Parsi

A commitment for a final deal within 30 days.

It could be extended to 60, as well as some sanctions relief release of Iranian assets in the interim, which seems to be some sort of a goodwill measure that Trump had to give to the Iranian side.

But the real test is going to come in the second phase because that's when they're going to have to resolve the nuclear issue.

The question of the stockpile is still one that is not resolved, although there's been movement in the right direction.

That's going to be tied to a final resolution to the status of the Strait of Hormuz, which also is not fully resolved in this interim stage.

So there's still a lot.

And on top of that,

I know 30 days is not a lot of time, but my God, it gives the hawks plenty of opportunities to try to do everything they can to sabotage this deal.

The one thing I point out, though, in my piece is that we may not see that high of a decibel coming from the Israeli side, from Israeli officials.

You will have massive decibel, of course, from their proxies in Washington, D.C.,

But from the Israeli officials' standpoint themselves, they may have to choose to be a bit more careful.

And the reason for that is that they are now entering into their election season.

And Trump remains very popular in Israel and as a result can damage any politician in Israel that chooses to publicly confront Trump over this issue.

And I think this is what Trump was hinting at, was it two or three days ago,

And when she kind of out of the blue started saying that he's seen the polls and he's at 99% in Israel and that he actually could run for prime minister, that he may actually run for prime minister in Israel later on.

I think that was a warning sign to the Israelis.

Telling Israeli officials that I'm so popular, I can be the kingmaker in Israel and you would be unwise to go after me over this issue.

It's going to be very tough for him because he's very sensitive to that type of rhetoric.

So it really is crucial for him to recognize that he has to show that discipline of sticking to.

He can't have it both ways.