Trita Parsi

But nevertheless, Israel is not the only country in the region that the United States has some form of a partnership with.

And it cannot be the only country that counts.

And he's there listing all of these different countries that are telling him to go in this direction, seek a peace, put an end to this conflict, because it's devastating for the entire region and for the global economy.

So all of this, I think, in and of itself was showing this is much more serious than the previous instances.

And then we do have confirmation, both from some of these leaders in the region, as well as from the Iranians, that something is very imminent.

I think the main problems are going to come in the second phase, because if we take a look at what this memorandum of understanding ultimately does, it really brings us back to where we were supposed to be when the first ceasefire was struck.

It was supposed to be regional.

Lebanon was supposed to be included.

There was not supposed to be a blockade of the blockade.

The strait was going to be open, but it will be under Iranian control for that moment.

So we're going back to where we were supposed to be before FDD sold Trump on this idea of a blockade of the blockade, which then created all of these additional problems and further weakened the U.S.

's position.

And then we have now, but on top of that, there's two other things.

A commitment for a final deal within 30 days.

It could be extended to 60, as well as some sanctions relief release of Iranian assets in the interim, which seems to be some sort of a goodwill measure that Trump had to give to the Iranian side.

But the real test is going to come in the second phase because that's when they're going to have to resolve the nuclear issue.

The question of the stockpile is still one that is not resolved, although there's been movement in the right direction.

That's going to be tied to a final resolution to the status of the Strait of Hormuz, which also is not fully resolved in this interim stage.

So there's still a lot.

And on top of that,