Trita Parsi

There's another thing to actually become a partner openly in this.

And then suddenly you share the responsibility for the outcome instead of Trump, who started this war.

So I think the Chinese are going to be very careful about that.

But behind the scenes, I'm sure they're going to do things to try to make sure that it goes in a direction that benefits them, which is for this issue to be resolved.

You know, the Iranians have actually prepared themselves for this scenario, including having a lot of oil outside of the Persian Gulf already.

Moreover, I think it's important to recognize that in the scenario I'm talking about, in which the U.S.

walks away, there would likely be more economic pressure on Iran.

But I'm not so sure there would be that naval blockade, not necessarily at least in its full form, perhaps a nominal one.

But just think about it.

The Iranians are selling oil to India and to China.

What is the U.S.

going to do?

Are they going to stop those shipments?

They think that's a punishment of Iran.

That's a punishment of China and India.

That's a direct confrontation with the Chinese and the Indians and other countries in Asia that are buying this oil.

So it is not as simple as to believe that this is just some sort of a pressure on Iran.

It will be pressure on Iran.

But more than anything else, it will be pressure on other countries that actually have strong relations with the U.S.

and on the energy market.