Tyler Cowen

China is incentivized to develop its own high quality chips and be fully independent of Western supply lines.

So I think it's not worked out well.

Interesting question.

What kind of timing do you want for when both America and China get super powerful AI?

And I don't think you actually want only America to have it.

It's a bit like nuclear weapons.

But you don't want China to have it first.

So you want some kind of staggered sequence where we're always a bit ahead of them, but they also maybe are constraining us a bit.

I hope we're on track to get that.

But I really, really don't want China to have it first.

Yes, I think it changes or will change so many parts of life.

Again, it's a bit difficult to specify worries, but how we think of ourselves as humans, how we think of our gods, our religions, I feel all that will be different.

If you imagine trying to predict the effects of the printing press after Gutenberg, that would have been nearly impossible to do.

I think we're all very glad we got the printing press, but you would not say all of it went well.

It's not that you would blame the printing press for those subsequent wars, but it was disruptive to the earlier political equilibrium.

I think we need to take great care to do it better this time.

AI in different forms will be weaponized.

There's great potential for destruction there.

And evil people will use it.

So, of course, we need to be very much concerned.