Tyler Cowen

Here's a simple way to put it.

Most of sub-Saharan Africa still does not have reliable clean water.

The intelligence required for that is not scarce.

We cannot so readily do it.

We are more in that position than we might like to think, but along other variables.

And taking advantage of the intelligence from strong AI is one of those.

I didn't agree with that post.

If you look at labor market data, the returns to IQ, as it translates into ages, they're amazingly low.

They're pretty insignificant.

And people who are very successful, they're very smart, but they're people who have, say, eight or nine areas where they're like, on a scale of one to ten, they're a nine.

Like, they have one area where they're just like an eleven and a half on a scale of one to ten.

And then on everything else, they're an eight to a nine and have a lot of determination.

And that's what leads to incredible success.

And IQ is one of those things, but it's not actually that important.

It's the bundle, and the bundles are scarce, and then the bundles interacting with the rest of the world.

Like, just try going to a mid-tier state university and sit down with the committee designed to develop a plan for using artificial intelligence in the curriculum, and then come back to me and tell me how that went.

And then we'll talk about bottlenecks.

They will write a report.

The report will sound like GPT-4 and we'll have the report.

The report will not be bottlenecked, I promise you.