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Tyler Crowe

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2102 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

As ambitious as all this growth is, how much capacity expansion can we have in chip manufacturing before something really starts to shift?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Even if we have this five-year growth period and we bring all this new capacity online, we could be looking at it six, seven years from now and all of a sudden we're way over capacity.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

And I feel like that's a major risk for especially somebody like Arm Holdings who doesn't have this yet and wants to get into it.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So are you guys seeing something similar or is it like, ah, I think you're just kind of shaking at the wrong problem here?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Yeah, and just wrapping it up here, I think I'm more or less in line with you guys, but I reserve the right on some curveball of algorithmic efficiency where power and compute use goes way down relative to what we're seeing out of Anthropic, OpenAI, and the big power users today.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Maybe they start seeing some sort of deep seek-esque drop in compute power per token or however we want to measure it.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So, yes, I think it's there, but I think we should all be ready for those curves that could happen.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

I mean, we've seen it in numerous other industries before.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

After the break, Matt and John are going to walk me through what I don't understand in DoorDash's earnings.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Like I said before the break here, I had a really hard time understanding what's going on with DoorDash's earnings and the response that we're seeing in the stock based on what they released.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

So you're going to have to help me here.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

DoorDash order volume, its gross order value, its revenue, they were all up a nice clip, like 25%, 30%.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

But operating profit, net income, operating cash flow were all down year over year on rising operating costs.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Now, the market seemed to like this.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

Shares are roughly up, I think, 2% as we are taping.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

And I'm a little perplexed by this because in theory, this is supposed to be one of those capital light economic scale businesses where growth is supposed to outpace overhead costs and lead to expanding margins.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

I think where we're at right now, you know, was it like three, four billion over the past 12 months in terms of revenue?

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

That's a pretty good scale for an online delivery company.

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
1 Chip Stock Making Bold Plans

But we're still headed in the other direction with operating costs.