Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Pricing

Victor Riparbelli

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
801 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

Buzzwords always take me out. When people say they're building AI agents to do all sorts of different things, that always lights up my bullshit detector a little bit. But I just feel like when you're overly obsessed about the technology and the latest buzzword, that's usually a yellow flag for me. Maybe I'll give you one concrete example. I really, really hate it when people call AI employees.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think it's so dumb. I think it's not helpful to build useful technologies that people want to adopt. And I just think it's the wrong way of thinking about that you're going to have AI employees doing all sorts of different things for you. These are algorithms. It's a piece of software.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think it's so dumb. I think it's not helpful to build useful technologies that people want to adopt. And I just think it's the wrong way of thinking about that you're going to have AI employees doing all sorts of different things for you. These are algorithms. It's a piece of software.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think it's so dumb. I think it's not helpful to build useful technologies that people want to adopt. And I just think it's the wrong way of thinking about that you're going to have AI employees doing all sorts of different things for you. These are algorithms. It's a piece of software.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

You wouldn't say that Miro or Figma is an AI employee that sits and takes people's design and put it onto something, right? I understand that it's because people think these things are going to be making decisions autonomously, but I just don't think it's that different from software that we already know.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

You wouldn't say that Miro or Figma is an AI employee that sits and takes people's design and put it onto something, right? I understand that it's because people think these things are going to be making decisions autonomously, but I just don't think it's that different from software that we already know.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

You wouldn't say that Miro or Figma is an AI employee that sits and takes people's design and put it onto something, right? I understand that it's because people think these things are going to be making decisions autonomously, but I just don't think it's that different from software that we already know.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think in general, in the tech industry, we're very good at setting really high expectations and then not always meeting them. I always try with these hype cycles to stay positive but rational. What does that mean? Well, it means, yeah, sure, probably at some point that will happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think in general, in the tech industry, we're very good at setting really high expectations and then not always meeting them. I always try with these hype cycles to stay positive but rational. What does that mean? Well, it means, yeah, sure, probably at some point that will happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I think in general, in the tech industry, we're very good at setting really high expectations and then not always meeting them. I always try with these hype cycles to stay positive but rational. What does that mean? Well, it means, yeah, sure, probably at some point that will happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I care most about what I know to be true today and in the next couple of quarters, and I'll adjust our strategy based off that. I think it's very clear we're going to have very capable AI that can produce software. I also think when I speak to a lot of developers that

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I care most about what I know to be true today and in the next couple of quarters, and I'll adjust our strategy based off that. I think it's very clear we're going to have very capable AI that can produce software. I also think when I speak to a lot of developers that

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I care most about what I know to be true today and in the next couple of quarters, and I'll adjust our strategy based off that. I think it's very clear we're going to have very capable AI that can produce software. I also think when I speak to a lot of developers that

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I mean, we're not at the point yet where you just sit down and say, hey, build me, get the next social network with these functionalities. It just comes up with it. I think building software is a lot harder than that. And I think what we see a lot with, I have seen the last two years, a lot of cool demos. And that's great. That's a good start. But what we really want to see is this applied.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I mean, we're not at the point yet where you just sit down and say, hey, build me, get the next social network with these functionalities. It just comes up with it. I think building software is a lot harder than that. And I think what we see a lot with, I have seen the last two years, a lot of cool demos. And that's great. That's a good start. But what we really want to see is this applied.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

I mean, we're not at the point yet where you just sit down and say, hey, build me, get the next social network with these functionalities. It just comes up with it. I think building software is a lot harder than that. And I think what we see a lot with, I have seen the last two years, a lot of cool demos. And that's great. That's a good start. But what we really want to see is this applied.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

mass scale in production because you can prompt like a tetris game the browser or something like that that's great but if you look at most software out there today it's very complex and it's not just technology right a lot of humans it's customers it's feedback loops and i don't think we're anywhere near being able to um to automate those things but i definitely think that a great software engineer will be way more productive in the next 6 12 to 18 months but

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

mass scale in production because you can prompt like a tetris game the browser or something like that that's great but if you look at most software out there today it's very complex and it's not just technology right a lot of humans it's customers it's feedback loops and i don't think we're anywhere near being able to um to automate those things but i definitely think that a great software engineer will be way more productive in the next 6 12 to 18 months but

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

mass scale in production because you can prompt like a tetris game the browser or something like that that's great but if you look at most software out there today it's very complex and it's not just technology right a lot of humans it's customers it's feedback loops and i don't think we're anywhere near being able to um to automate those things but i definitely think that a great software engineer will be way more productive in the next 6 12 to 18 months but

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Scaling Laws Will Not Continue | OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai: Who Wins and Why | How Far Will Model Providers Go Into the Application Layer | The End State for Models: Many Specialised or Few Generalised with Victor Riparbelli @ Synthesia

You know, there's some podcast on point, especially 12 months ago. Also, friend, it's that, right? In the future, it's going to be, you're just going to go on to whatever LLM. You're just going to say, make me a copy of Monday.com. You're going to deploy it. You're going to sell it at one-tenth of the price. It's going to be great. And all the existing companies are dead.