Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
So we can talk about him because he's in charge of cybersecurity in China.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
He has a technical background.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
But in metallurgical forging, graduating at – I wouldn't say – it's not the MIT of China, maybe closer to the IIT of China.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
You know, just kind of like the second tier science background.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
Institute founded by one of the Soviet experts who wanted to teach China how to do metallurgy.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
But does that kind of very specialized technical knowledge make you a better leader?
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
I think it depends on the person.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
And I think what happens in the Chinese Communist Party is that as people rise up, there's certainly – you have to have political acumen.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
If you don't have political acumen, you're not going to make it.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
And some people on top of their technical expertise, it turns out that they have some political acumen.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
But it's not something that you sort of know ex ante except for the princelings, right?
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
So the princelings, the reason why they're special is not just because of their –
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
genes, you know, they're children of high-level officials, is that they grew up honing this political acumen because their parents could teach them about it.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
So then some people turn out to have political acumen.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
They're pretty smart.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
They don't necessarily have the best degree, you know, degrees from the best universities in China.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
And they end up being very successful.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
So it's not necessarily, oh, you know, all the Peking and Tsinghua University graduates, you know, they all get to the very top.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
There are certainly disproportionate amount of people like that in the Politburo, but they don't dominate because at the end of the day, it is somewhat random.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih
So there's a lot of expertise at sort of the lower level that can feed to the higher level.