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Victor Shih

👤 Person
755 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

It's very scary.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So I think they are substantive.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

And then, well, but the thing is also Xi Jinping will make remarks after such a lecture.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

And those remarks become policy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So you asked about the leading small group.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So this is where this ranking is very important, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So the head of the leading small group always has to be the senior most ranked person.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

And of course, the good thing about having Xi Jinping as the head of a leading small group is that his authority is not going to be challenged by anyone else because everyone agrees he's the most powerful and most senior ranked person in all of China.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

But the problem is all the other members of the leading small group are low-ranked than him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So then – so whereas before – well, not all.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

But like whereas before when decisions were made in the Politburo Standing Committee, notionally the party and also even the bureaucratic ranks of all the Politburo Standing Committee members are equivalent to each other.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So there was debates.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

There were debates.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

And then, you know, even sometimes overturning of the position of the party secretary general, sort of historically, you have seen cases like that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

But when most of the decision was pushed into all these different leading small group, usually there's one other person who's similarly ranked as Xi Jinping, you know, the premier of China or

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

or one of the other people, but everyone else would be these vice premier, ministers, or provincial governors who are definitely ranked lower than Xi Jinping.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

And in no scenario will they debate a particular policy with Xi Jinping.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

So at most, maybe there's one person with sort of equal standing officially with Xi Jinping who could

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

voice some kind of disagreement.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

But of course, because Xi is so powerful informally, no one would actually dare to do that.