Victor Vescovo
👤 PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Who would have won in the air?
So I focused on the air element of a war in Central Europe.
No one had really done it before.
So I built a mathematical model in simulation that simulated the forces fighting each other over several months and coming up with a conclusion of yes, of who would win under what conditions, but also what the key variable was.
What was fascinating after doing all this research and talking to all these experts
the number one determinant of who would win in aerial warfare, and this applies to any scenario, the pilots.
Pilot quality and training.
That's why the Israelis are so incredibly good.
Their training is incredible.
They fly all the time.
They have great systems.
It's less about the hardware than about the pilots.
Most people don't realize 80% of the time when someone is shot down, they have no idea who shot them down.
It comes out of nowhere.
The ACEs are very rare.
They're less than 5% or less of pilots in wartime.
And usually pilots are either hawks or they're pigeons, as they're called.
And therefore, really, air warfare is determined by the pilots.
Oh, good for you.
As Napoleon said, amateurs study tactics, professionals study logistics.