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Vince Scully

πŸ‘€ Speaker
552 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

Clearly, if borrowing volume... Shivers.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

It's down...

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

10.3.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

Wow.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

So if the ability to lend falls... I might text Matt, see what he thinks about it.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

Mr. Common, sorry.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

That's obviously going to impact their profitability, given that the vast bulk of their revenue comes from home loans.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

There's also the potential argument that, yeah, mum and dad investors who held it for a long time might want to bank the capital gain.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

Yes.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

All right, so today, if you hold an asset for more than 12 months, you pay tax on half of your gain.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

So if you make...

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

hundred thousand dollar gain you divide it by two and then add that to your income and pay tax on that that was brought in to replace a indexation to inflation so the theory with capital gains tax is that you don't want to be taxed as a philosophical point you don't want to tax people on gains that are there just because of inflation so the whole point about the original

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

indexation was to get rid of inflation.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

Peter Costello simplified that when inflation was much higher than it is today with a 50% reduction.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

And as inflation has come down, despite this recent flip up, that's got out of whack.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

So the proposal is that from July, 2027,

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

gains will be looked at relative to the inflation adjusted price.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

So if you paid a million dollars, inflation was 3%, well now you're only gonna get taxed on gains over a million and 30,000.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

And that's not a million miles difference.

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919b The 2026 Federal Budget: Glen James talks with Jim Chalmers, MPs, insiders & breaks it down with Vince Scully

If you look at Sydney's 40 year house price growth of about 5.8%, average inflation of 2.7, 2.8.