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Vinod Khosla

👤 Person
192 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

It's likely as of this morning, the reinsurance websites are all saying it's probably a 40 to $50 billion loss event, which still exceeds the state's reinsurance capacity. So you can kind of think about Florida state's reinsurance thing being effectively bankrupt. It doesn't really have the capacity to underwrite the insurance anymore.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

It's likely as of this morning, the reinsurance websites are all saying it's probably a 40 to $50 billion loss event, which still exceeds the state's reinsurance capacity. So you can kind of think about Florida state's reinsurance thing being effectively bankrupt. It doesn't really have the capacity to underwrite the insurance anymore.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

So the real question for everyone is, is the federal government gonna have to step in and start to support the price of homes.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

So the real question for everyone is, is the federal government gonna have to step in and start to support the price of homes.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

The total value of all mortgages and homeowner mortgages in Florida is $454 billion. And those people typically have a debt to equity ratio probably on the 50 to 80% range. So if the value of your home dips by 25%, because everyone starts selling their homes, leaving Florida, or they can't get insurance,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

The total value of all mortgages and homeowner mortgages in Florida is $454 billion. And those people typically have a debt to equity ratio probably on the 50 to 80% range. So if the value of your home dips by 25%, because everyone starts selling their homes, leaving Florida, or they can't get insurance,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

then the people that live in Florida, most of them have their net worth tied up in their home, are going to see their personal net worth wiped out or cut in half. So it's not just an economic problem. It's a social problem that now there are so many people that have put their entire net worth into their home.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

then the people that live in Florida, most of them have their net worth tied up in their home, are going to see their personal net worth wiped out or cut in half. So it's not just an economic problem. It's a social problem that now there are so many people that have put their entire net worth into their home.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

The value of their home is written to a point that it no longer makes sense given the frequency at which homes are going to get destroyed.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

The value of their home is written to a point that it no longer makes sense given the frequency at which homes are going to get destroyed.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

No. It's totally viable. It's just the question is what are you willing to – At what price?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

No. It's totally viable. It's just the question is what are you willing to – At what price?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

Will you pay 5% of your home value for insurance every year? Will you pay 2%, 3%?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

Will you pay 5% of your home value for insurance every year? Will you pay 2%, 3%?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

It becomes very, very untenable. Well, it used to be 1 in 500 years. Now it's probably 1 in 15, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

It becomes very, very untenable. Well, it used to be 1 in 500 years. Now it's probably 1 in 15, right?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

Well, I mean, you saw that the range at which these events can happen is all over the place. And the challenge is the events are getting more significant because of this warm ocean weather that we see, this warm ocean temperature.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

Well, I mean, you saw that the range at which these events can happen is all over the place. And the challenge is the events are getting more significant because of this warm ocean weather that we see, this warm ocean temperature.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

An investment in climate resilience, that's right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

An investment in climate resilience, that's right.