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๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Oh, that's a good question. I think, and you know, the messy thing is that Nobody has it all figured out at the start, right? I love to look up, you know, anybody who's like very successful now, I love to look up their earliest, like if you see like Obama's earliest speeches or like Jason Mraz's first concert, they look nervous. They don't look like they know what they're doing, you know?
Oh, that's a good question. I think, and you know, the messy thing is that Nobody has it all figured out at the start, right? I love to look up, you know, anybody who's like very successful now, I love to look up their earliest, like if you see like Obama's earliest speeches or like Jason Mraz's first concert, they look nervous. They don't look like they know what they're doing, you know?
Oh, that's a good question. I think, and you know, the messy thing is that Nobody has it all figured out at the start, right? I love to look up, you know, anybody who's like very successful now, I love to look up their earliest, like if you see like Obama's earliest speeches or like Jason Mraz's first concert, they look nervous. They don't look like they know what they're doing, you know?
So in the earlier stages, I think if anybody has any like intellectual honesty, they are going to be like, well, I think I got a shot, but I'm not completely sure, but I'm going to try, right? And, you know, so there will be self-doubt and If someone tells them, you're not serious, they might be like, am I? I think I am, but I'm not sure. There's that cluster of people.
So in the earlier stages, I think if anybody has any like intellectual honesty, they are going to be like, well, I think I got a shot, but I'm not completely sure, but I'm going to try, right? And, you know, so there will be self-doubt and If someone tells them, you're not serious, they might be like, am I? I think I am, but I'm not sure. There's that cluster of people.
So in the earlier stages, I think if anybody has any like intellectual honesty, they are going to be like, well, I think I got a shot, but I'm not completely sure, but I'm going to try, right? And, you know, so there will be self-doubt and If someone tells them, you're not serious, they might be like, am I? I think I am, but I'm not sure. There's that cluster of people.
And then, okay, there's also the cluster of, I imagine Kanye is probably an extreme end of just radically certain of themselves. And that group probably splits into those that don't crash and burn and those that make it. And then there's like out of survival bias, you hear from a lot of those who do make it. I'm drifting from your question. You were asking about... How that causes cynicism.
And then, okay, there's also the cluster of, I imagine Kanye is probably an extreme end of just radically certain of themselves. And that group probably splits into those that don't crash and burn and those that make it. And then there's like out of survival bias, you hear from a lot of those who do make it. I'm drifting from your question. You were asking about... How that causes cynicism.
And then, okay, there's also the cluster of, I imagine Kanye is probably an extreme end of just radically certain of themselves. And that group probably splits into those that don't crash and burn and those that make it. And then there's like out of survival bias, you hear from a lot of those who do make it. I'm drifting from your question. You were asking about... How that causes cynicism.
Tasks failed successfully, yeah. I think it's especially difficult when you're starting out, which is why I tend to think about and focus on teenagers and people in their early 20s a lot. Because that's such a... I do think as you get older, if you've been somewhat rigorous, you have some hygiene principles in how you examine things and who you talk to.
Tasks failed successfully, yeah. I think it's especially difficult when you're starting out, which is why I tend to think about and focus on teenagers and people in their early 20s a lot. Because that's such a... I do think as you get older, if you've been somewhat rigorous, you have some hygiene principles in how you examine things and who you talk to.
Tasks failed successfully, yeah. I think it's especially difficult when you're starting out, which is why I tend to think about and focus on teenagers and people in their early 20s a lot. Because that's such a... I do think as you get older, if you've been somewhat rigorous, you have some hygiene principles in how you examine things and who you talk to.
Over time, you cultivate a social graph, a social network that's the people in your life. If you have other serious people around you, um, who are serious about figuring out who's for real and who's not, it gets easier a little bit.
Over time, you cultivate a social graph, a social network that's the people in your life. If you have other serious people around you, um, who are serious about figuring out who's for real and who's not, it gets easier a little bit.
Over time, you cultivate a social graph, a social network that's the people in your life. If you have other serious people around you, um, who are serious about figuring out who's for real and who's not, it gets easier a little bit.
You might still make some errors here and there, but like, you know, after a while, you know, I think Steve Jobs has this quote about how, and he's talking about a company and running a team. Like when you hire a people and you put them in a context with other people, they become self policing in only welcoming other people and like pushing and like kind of, um,
You might still make some errors here and there, but like, you know, after a while, you know, I think Steve Jobs has this quote about how, and he's talking about a company and running a team. Like when you hire a people and you put them in a context with other people, they become self policing in only welcoming other people and like pushing and like kind of, um,
You might still make some errors here and there, but like, you know, after a while, you know, I think Steve Jobs has this quote about how, and he's talking about a company and running a team. Like when you hire a people and you put them in a context with other people, they become self policing in only welcoming other people and like pushing and like kind of, um,
Not necessarily pushing away, but they keep out the B people, I guess. But yeah, so if you are not rigorous about your information environment and who you allow to take up your time and energy and attention, cynicism becomes a natural response because you keep seeing failures and you keep seeing evidence of people bullshitting you.
Not necessarily pushing away, but they keep out the B people, I guess. But yeah, so if you are not rigorous about your information environment and who you allow to take up your time and energy and attention, cynicism becomes a natural response because you keep seeing failures and you keep seeing evidence of people bullshitting you.