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Vlad Tenev

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
287 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Yeah, so as you mentioned, this is part of our big unveil of prediction markets, which we've offered for a little bit over a year.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

But remember, we started with just one prediction market on the platform, which was the presidential election in 2024.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

And since then, we've gone to over 1,500 contracts on the platform across

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

pretty much every domain.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

We've got politics, we've got world affairs, economics, culture, and we recently added weather, and of course, as you mentioned, sports.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

So I think the major innovation here

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

and why it's been so disruptive to the sports industry is you can take the general prediction markets infrastructure, which are markets that trade on regulated exchanges where buyers and sellers are matched, and apply them to pretty much everything.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Now, of course, sports is an important subset of that because there's an existing large market there.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

But we see a world where actually the percentage of non-sports contracts grows much faster than sports.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

And I think several big industries are likely to be disrupted in the future.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Things like insurance, you can imagine with the weather contracts we have on a platform, people have already pointed out that trading and hedging with an insurance weather contract

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

could be superior to buying traditional insurance through a broker.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

So as the market matures and you see increased in institutional participation, I think we could be at the very beginning of a prediction market super cycle with growth in volumes and enlisted contracts accelerating from here.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Well, I'm not exactly sure which incident you're referring to.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

There was an incident in the sports betting space, which is entirely differently regulated.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Right.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Those are regulated on a state by state basis.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

And I think they're obviously working hard to address these issues.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

But what I tell you is.

Bloomberg Talks
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets

Financial markets have had the infrastructure in terms of surveillance and monitoring to deal with these types of concerns, and they've been dealing with it for decades because obviously insider trading originated as a market integrity measure for the equities market.

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