Vlad Tenev

We don't.

And certainly, all change and disruption brings with it a painful transition.

Jobs will disappear.

Perhaps they'll disappear at an accelerating rate.

But at the same time, what we've gone through here is tens of thousands of years of human history, and we see one undeniable trend.

There's going to be new jobs, and lots and lots of them.

AI researchers talk about this idea of a singularity, an intelligence explosion.

But what we see in the data is that we're also on a curve of rapidly accelerating job creation, which I like to call the job singularity.

A Cambrian explosion of not just new jobs, but new job families across every imaginable field.

Where the internet gave people worldwide reach,

AI gives them a world-class staff.

And so, if you look at this cloud of jobs, certainly there's going to be some jobs that we can't predict yet.

But I think we can make some predictions.

There's going to be a flurry of new entrepreneurial activity with micro corporations, solo institutions, and single-person unicorns, which, by the way, I don't think we're very far from.

Another defining feature of this job singularity is that when you look into the future, the jobs will not look like real work.

Much like to our predecessors, our current jobs would have looked like leisure.

We have people getting paid to play video games, eat at restaurants, travel, and talk to their friends on video.

Those last people we call podcast bros.

And we take our jobs very seriously.

Those of us that do well certainly wouldn't say it's easy, but if you took someone from the 20th century, when people first started contemplating these problems, and they could peek into our world today, they would think that all of the predictions around technological unemployment came true.