Wade Miller

There's, you know,

snowstorms, floods, previous fires that they're still spending down on that fund for.

They're one major emergency event away from a political disaster for themselves.

Same thing with TSA, same thing with Coast Guard, same thing.

There's all sorts of political peril for the left.

And I think that the calculus here, if you're the Trump administration, is look, we've got them to agree to fund the entire government at lower levels.

When was the last time that happened?

And now they think that they're going to have the upper hand on the issue of deportations, but this isn't going to be about deportations because deportations are still going to continue.

ICE and CBP are still going to operate.

The processes that need to be deemed essential will be.

And so this is going to come down to the American people on the ground level are going to start seeing the impacts of this in other ways, and they're not going to like it.

And I think that

the Trump administration's calculus is that that's going to be a really difficult position for the left to argue.

And it could be suicidal if something really bad happens in that time frame and Democrats aren't there to fund DHS.

And that could bleed into the midterm.

So I think that that's the posture.

And I think that's the strategy that the Trump administration is looking for.

Now, I do think that it's incumbent on those on the other side of the aisle to articulate this correctly.

Yeah, my guess is that for the first four or five days, potentially two weeks, the left in terms of talking points will have the upper hand.

I think that that starts to get really weak very quickly.