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Walter "Wally" Thurman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
115 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

And how prevalent was this in the winters of 2006 and 2007?

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

Well, I think if you go back and look at surveys of beekeepers, what you can say is that an overwinter mortality rate of about 15%, that would have been the norm prior to 2006 and 2007, doubled to an overwinter mortality rate of 30%.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

Well, my colleagues, Randy Rucker and Mike Burgett and I were studying other aspects of the bee industry at the time.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

And we heard about colony collapse disorder and thought, oh, my goodness.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

This is catastrophic.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

We should see increases in the prices of pollination services, in the prices of honey, reduction in bee colonies.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

And when we started to look at the data and disentangle effects from trends,

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

There's no effect.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

What do you mean by no effect?

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

Department of Agriculture takes a survey every year of how many bees there are in the United States, how many bee colonies.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

Now, this is not an easy number to estimate.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

How do you count them?

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

When do you count them?

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

But there are censuses.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

Well, just a few years after 2006, there were more bee colonies in the United States than there were prior to colony collapse disorder.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

So while it was true that overwinter mortality rates doubled due to this CCD effect, the measured number of bee colonies didn't change a bit and, in fact, increased a little bit.

Freakonomics Radio
670. Beeconomics 101

And a couple of reasons.