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Wendy Zuckerman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
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1013 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

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Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

After the cruise ship travellers were brought back to the States, his team went back and asked them a bunch of questions.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

Like, soon after you were tested, did you have symptoms?

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

So, we started with around 50% who seemed to be asymptomatic.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

Where did we land?

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

So that drops the number from 50 to 20%.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

A pretty big drop.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

And while Mateus' study just looked at the Americans on the Diamond Princess cruise, other researchers used models to expand this out to the other passengers from other countries.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

And they got similar figures, estimating that now 18% were truly asymptomatic.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

So for now, the evidence suggests that most people who get this virus will go on to get symptoms.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

And the best study we have, this Diamond Princess study, suggests that the number of people who won't is maybe 20%.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

A caveat here is that a lot of people on that cruise ship were older folks, the cruise-loving crowd, which means that we don't know if this 20% figure applies across the board.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

It's possible that the younger, not so cruise-loving crowd could be more likely to be asymptomatic.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

And there is another wrinkle to this story.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

Research is starting to pop up to suggest that while some asymptomatic people may feel fine...

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

they might not be perfectly healthy.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

Doctors are noticing that when hospitals actually scan these people's lungs, sometimes they don't look quite normal.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

Vivek, who we heard from earlier, said, for example, doctors are finding this when people come into the hospital for something else, like, say, a broken arm.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

A few small studies have found this kind of thing, like one study of 18 asymptomatic patients found seven of them had gunk in their lungs.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

So that means even when people don't feel sick, the virus still might be causing trouble in their bodies.

Science Vs
Coronavirus: How Many Silent Spreaders Are There?

All right, so what does this all mean for us now?