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Werner Antweiler

πŸ‘€ Speaker
167 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

There was somebody who actually made a big profit on this.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

We don't know who that person is, but we do know it happened that this person took a profit.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And that really looked a lot like insider information.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And that is a potential when you have events that are happening that are actually determined by individual people or a small circle of people.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

They have knowledge that others don't.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And so they could trade on that.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

With elections, that wasn't possible because elections are determined by millions of people actually go into the ballot boxes.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

But that is not true for many of the events that are being traded upon in these commercial prediction markets.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

Yeah, in the United States, it's actually not really regulated.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

It's a wild west of prediction markets, as I would call it.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

It's a lacking regulation.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And the current administration in the United States is all gung-ho for everything that's crypto and that's new markets.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And in fact, there is a link to crypto because some of these markets actually are based on accepting crypto currencies for investment.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And so that makes it really hard to actually trace who is actually benefiting.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And that's precisely this lack of transparency and lack of accountability that leads me to question these markets when it actually opens the door really wide for insider trading.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

Well, if it's like that, you know, people just want to bet on those sporting outcomes, it's like betting.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And that needs to be regulated by the provinces.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

And if there's money to be made, that shouldn't be a commercial profit.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

Like all gambling in the province here in British Columbia, it's regulated by our province and the money actually goes to the public purse and will be recirculated as profits to good causes.

The Last Show with David Cooper
Prediction Markets: Should You Be Skeptical of Them?

So that should be the norm for betting.