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Zaid Admani

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
5020 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Kava raised prices about 1.7% in 2025 and same stores traffic actually fell 1.4% in Q4.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

So Kava has fewer customers coming in, but those customers are just paying more when they do come in.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

So that could be a problem long-term.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

We'll see how much Kava customers are willing to put up with the menu price increases, especially as other food places like McDonald's and Taco Bell are leaning harder into value.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Kava management doesn't seem to be too concerned though.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

In fact, they're expecting same store sales growth of three to 5% in 2026.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

They plan to open up to 76 new locations.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

As a result, Kava stock is up more than 10% this morning at the time of this recording.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Now on the flip side, Lucid is having a rough morning after the EV maker widely missed earnings expectations in Q4.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Now their revenues did beat estimates coming in at $523 million, which was up double year over year.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

But the bigger issue is production and profitability.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

The number that stuck out to me was that Lucid burned through $2.7 billion in 2025, and they still have no timeline to reach profitability.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

The company also just laid off 12% of its US salaried workforce to try to cut costs and improve their margins.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Now their balance sheet has about $4.6 billion of liquidity, so they're not gonna be going bankrupt anytime soon, but the clock is ticking.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

The one bright spot for Lucid is their 2026 outlook.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Lucid is guiding for 25,000 to 27,000 vehicles this year, which would be a 40 to 50% jump from 2025.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

The company says that their gravity SUV is expected to drive most of that growth.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

But you know, investors aren't as optimistic.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

Lucid shares are down more than 4% this morning at the time of this recording.

The Rundown
PayPal Draws Takeover Interest, Circle Surges on Earnings

You know, I actually saw a Lucid driving through my neighborhood the other day.