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Zaid

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3266 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Well, when enterprise IT spending collapsed, Cisco had to write down about 40% of its supply chain obligations and Cisco's stock tank.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So I think Burry thinks that could also happen to Nvidia.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

you know, if there's a pullback on AI spending that some think will happen, maybe NVIDIA could suffer the same fate that Cisco did back during the dot-com crash.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And that's the key question here, right?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Will there actually be a pullback in AI spending, especially from the hyperscalers?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

As I mentioned earlier, 50% of NVIDIA's revenues come from Meta, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And these companies are expected to spend close to $700 billion combined on AI infrastructure this year.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

But all this CapEx spending is actually wrecking havoc on the balance sheets of

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

these companies.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are all expected to see a noticeable decline in free cashflow this year.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

In fact, Amazon is expected to go into negative free cashflow from all their CapEx spending.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So it's possible the shareholders of these companies might start pushing back and asking whether this CapEx spending is actually worth it.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

In fact, the stock price for all the hyperscalers is in the red this year.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

If the stock price continues to fall, there's gonna be more pressure on management to potentially scale back CapEx.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And if that happens,

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

NVIDIA could take a big hit.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And finally, the last concern when it comes to NVIDIA is competition.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Now look, NVIDIA still dominates the AI chip market, but for the first time, it feels like competition is getting serious.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And the reason competition is heating up is because the industry is shifting.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

AI is moving from the training phase where you need massive GPU clusters to train frontier AI models, something that NVIDIA chips are really good at,