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Zaid

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2318 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

I mean, across the board, this was a dominant quarter, and management doesn't expect things to slow down anytime soon.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

The company expects Q1 revenues to come in at $78 billion, which is higher than the $73 billion that analysts were expecting.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Now, Nvidia's stock did initially pop around 2% to 3% after their earnings came out on Wednesday afternoon.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

But then by Thursday, the stock had dropped more than 5%.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And then on Friday, the stock dropped another 4%.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So despite beating on every metric across the board, Nvidia stock is down almost 10% following their earnings report.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So let's get into the bear case and why investors are suddenly so nervous about Nvidia going forward.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

All right, so if Nvidia is printing money and crushing expectations, why did the stock lose nearly 10% of its value in two days?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Well, the thing is the market is forward-looking and right now investors are getting seriously spooked by a few looming risks when it comes to AI.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

I think the market is kind of going through an identity crisis.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

On one hand, AI is an incredible technology, and it's getting better every month.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And companies are embracing it and spending hundreds of billions of dollars on it.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

But on the other hand, some investors are starting to ask, what if AI being so good is actually bad for the economy?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

A few days ago, there was a Substack post by Citrini Research that went mega viral.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

The post was framed as a research memo from the year 2028, and it laid out a completely dystopian view of AI's economic impact.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

The whole piece was very long, like 7,000 words.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And it essentially makes the point that AI will keep getting better and companies will keep replacing white collar workers with AI and those displaced workers will stop spending money and that's gonna trigger a broader economic collapse.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Now, personally, I think the Citrini piece is a bit too sci-fi for me to take seriously, but the markets definitely took notice.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Tech stocks fell on Monday following the report, and that just tells you how fragile sentiment is around AI right now.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

We saw something similar happen with DeepSeek back in January of last year when that Chinese AI startup shocked the market and Nvidia's stock dropped 17% in a single day.