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Zaid

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2318 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So the backstory here is that NVIDIA has been locked out of China because of US export restrictions, but the US government recently granted NVIDIA a license to export a small number of their powerful H200 chips to China.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

But that's just one side of the equation because now the Chinese government has been hesitant to allow Nvidia's chips into their country due to its own national security concerns.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

China also wants to funnel support to their homegrown rivals like Huawei.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

But Bloomberg recently reported that the Chinese government began telling tech firms like Alibaba that they can prepare to start ordering Nvidia's chips.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And the market has already adjusted to Nvidia not being in China.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So whatever revenue that Nvidia ends up making is just upside.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Jensen seems to think this could be a $50 billion opportunity.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Now to wrap up the bull case, I have to talk about valuation.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

I know it sounds kind of crazy to say, but the most valuable company in the world might be undervalued.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So hear me out here, okay?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Nvidia currently trades at less than 22 times forward earnings.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

This is well below its five-year average of around 37 times.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

In fact, Bloomberg reported that Nvidia is now cheaper than roughly one third of all the stocks in the S&P 500.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

The best way that I can put this into perspective is that Nvidia's revenues grew 65% last year, which makes it the third fastest growing company in all of the S&P 500.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

And right now the stock is trading basically at the same forward PE as an average S&P 500 company.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Meanwhile, you have a company like Palantir, which has a similar growth rate to Nvidia, but that stock is trading at nearly 100 times forward earnings.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So that just kind of puts into perspective why Nvidia might be undervalued trading at 22 times forward earnings.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

So what's my take here?

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Well, look, I'm not going to sit here and tell you that NVIDIA is a risk-free investment.

The Rundown
Deep Dive: Is Nvidia Undervalued?

In fact, I think that there are valid concerns.