Zaid

Like as I'm recording this, the Supreme Court struck down some of President Trump's tariffs.

But in a press conference earlier today, he said he plans to impose other tariffs to make up for the ones that were struck down by the Supreme Court.

So again, all that's going to add uncertainty to Walmart's business.

And the other uncertainty is the CEO transition.

Doug McMillan stepped down as CEO on February 1st and handed the keys to John Ferner.

Now, Ferner is an experienced guy and he spent over three decades at Walmart, most recently running the US division, but he has big shoes to fill to make sure that Walmart carries this momentum into the next era while also navigating the constantly changing tariff landscape.

So he's kind of stepping into a tough spot right now.

The biggest risk that I see for Walmart, though, as an investor is their valuation.

Walmart is currently trading at 42 times forward earnings, which is the highest multiple ever for them, and even higher than fast-growing tech companies like Nvidia and Google, which have a forward PE of 27 right now.

you can make the case that Walmart at its core is just a retailer only growing revenues at 5% a year.

So there might not be much upside left in the stock at its current valuation.

So what's my take?

Well, you guys might not believe me, but I was an early believer in Walmart.

Now, once they started embracing technology a few years ago and I saw the improvements to their app and their e-commerce offerings, I became an investor.

But even I'm starting to think the stock has gotten expensive, trading it over 40 times forward earnings.

Now, I think their business is solid.

I like the growth in e-commerce.

I like the improvements they're making to their supply chains for improving the efficiency.

I like the fact that they're embracing AI.

But at this current valuation, one bad quarter or a misstep by the new CEO could reprice the stock.