Best NFL Prop Bets For Week 16 (Ep. 913)
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
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Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place your bets. It's me, Joey P. Joe P's up here and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the props and no, don't adjust your YouTube screens. There's no Andrew Erickson today. He had a power outage. Why? Because the guy's just too damn hot. He's just, you know, he's so good. He just blew out a whole receiver up there in the New England area. So you're left with myself and the Welsh today. to pick up the pieces for week 16 in the prop department. And I think it's really convenient, Welsh, and all of a sudden we're tied in touchdown calls and his power is out and he can't record today. Don't you think that's fishy?
I mean, yeah, like I was over 500. He wasn't. I tied the touchdown calls. Very convenient that the power was out. It's like 70 degrees here in Arizona. So like, it's always a lie to me. Anytime you guys are like, oh yeah, it's really stormy. And I'm like, It's pretty great out. I'm wearing my shorts today, so I don't know. But yeah, touchdowns are tied. I had a plus week.
What are the Week 16 betting pros and show intro?
We're over 500 as we get whimpered out to the end of the season with no Erickson. We see you, Erickson.
With no Erickson to be found anywhere. But that's all right. Look, Andrew, more disappointed about not being on the show today than anybody. So we shout out. Hopefully he'll get the power back soon. This is what happens in the fun of homeownership. But we're going to own our picks here going forward this week. And I'm going to start with one of my favorite Detroit Lions. That's right. I'm on Ross St. Brown at home where he does his best work. The number is pretty high up there. It's 83 and a half right now in terms of those receiving yards in Welsh. I'm going over this one. I actually locked this in at 81.5 before it grew a little bit over the last couple days, but I see it's growing in some spots to 83.5.
I still feel comfortable. He's gone over this against the Rams last week. He went over this against Dallas the week before. Then, of course, he was hurt the week of Thanksgiving, but the week before this against the Giants as well. When this guy is at home... He's crushing this number at home against Tampa, at home against Minnesota. This is where Jared Goff and company do their best work. And I think in this contest here coming up, I feel very confident against the Steelers that the Detroit Lions will find a way to win this football game and that you will have Amon Ross-Abram being a big part of it. So I'm going over here. Welsh, where's your first pick going for Week 16?
We're going to the wide receiver market as well. I was actually kind of bouncing around both of these wide outs. This is one me and Erickson probably would have fought over because I know Erickson's in this spot. I'm going with Ladd McConkie, and we are taking his receiving yards and going over. It is a low total this week. To be honest, all those receivers are. Keenan Allen was the one I was looking at, but then I got a hold of Ladd McConkie's and went, oh. We're going to have to take it because it's 46.5. This is against the Dallas Cowboys, who rank 24 of 32. 32 in wide receiver overall PFF. This is according to PFF on their coverage. They've got two unranked PFF corners right there. And Revel... who is the one named corner they put up over on PFF is literally ranked 112 of 112.
So all that is telling you is it's like overall, like really bad coverage. Cowboys, they have, and you knew that by the way, Cowboys have given this up to a wide receiver. This receiving prop is,
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Chapters
6 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:00–1:30
2
What are the Week 16 betting pros and show intro?
1:30–5:33
3
Why should you bet Amon-Ra St. Brown over 81.5 receiving yards?
5:33–7:14
4
What data supports taking Ladd McConkey over 46.5 receiving yards?
7:14–12:32
5
Why is Nico Collins a smash pick for over 61.5 receiving yards?
12:32–20:18
6
How does Quinn Ewers' start influence the De'Von Achane receiving yards over 27.5 pick?
20:18–28:23