Instant Reaction: US Unexpectedly Sheds 92,000 Jobs in Latest Report

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The Labor Department says the U.S. economy lost 92,000 jobs in February. That is worse than expected. We were looking at an additional 55,000 jobs. And, of course, this is compared to January when we added 130,000 jobs. The unemployment rate ticking up to 4.4%. The estimate there was 4.3%, and the prior month was 4.3%. Checking wages month over month, up slightly to four-tenths of a percent. Estimates were for three-tenths, and earnings year over year also a bit hotter, 3.8% versus the 3.7%. expected. But again, the headline here, the economy lost many more jobs than expected, 92,000 in the month of February. Estimates were for 55,000. We also just got retail sales numbers out for the month of January, and they were down two-tenths of a percent versus the estimate of three-tenths of a percent.
As for market reaction, it is swift. The Dow futures now down more than 400 points. S&P futures off 64. Guys, Claudia Sama with us as we continue with all of her good work here. These are the kind of numbers, Claudia, where amateurs like me go, okay, that means diminished GDP. Is that correct, that all of this sun's back to a lesser real GDP where we're on the Sama recession watch? So not necessarily. So clearly these numbers from February are not in checking the box on signs of stabilization in the labor market, right? We're losing jobs, unemployment rate ticked up. This is not a good sign. This actually sits pretty consistently, especially if you look at the last three months, with what we saw all of last year.
The US economy last year created almost no jobs on net. And at the same time, consumer spending increased, business investment increased, GDP rose for the year on trend. We can talk about concentration, we can talk about what sectors it's in, but we have already been for a year in a jobless expansion. So unfortunately, what the February data, what this latest labor market data suggests is That's still where we're at. Right. And we have been looking for signs that hiring was picking up. And, you know, the January gave some the January employment report gave some signs of that. January still is a really strong number, even with down revisions. It's all you know, it's close to one hundred thirty thousand still.
But I mean, clearly to lose ninety thousand jobs on net in February is a real problem. We're not creating jobs. It's that question, is it a problem? That's a whole separate, and this has been a really difficult conversation to have, but we've been in this for well over a year now. So Claudia, what is the...

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