Bondcast - The Rates Podcast
Episodes
How will falling inflation feed into central bank decision-making?
21 Jul 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Joann Spadigm, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the impact of the recent downside UK inflation surprise on th...
With inflation in the driving seat, where to for markets?
13 Jul 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giles Gale discuss our latest views on inflation and potential implications for the...
How much higher can gilt yields really go?
06 Jul 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Kevin Cummins, and Giles Gale discuss shifting rate hike expectations in the UK, the impact of the l...
What should we make of Sintra and this week's data?
29 Jun 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Kevin Cummins and Joann Spadigam examine central bankers’ comments in Sintra, Portugal. They also ...
What do changing central bank reaction functions mean for markets?
22 Jun 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and John Briggs debrief after the Bank of England's surprise Bank Rate hike. They...
Where are rates heading after this week's central bank bonanza?
16 Jun 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debrief after the Fed's "Freudian Skip" and the European ...
What should markets expect from the Fed and ECB in June?
08 Jun 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take stock ahead of the Fed and European Central Bank (ECB) meetings nex...
Euro Area inflation turns, gilts outperforms, and a US debt ceiling deal’s in sight
01 Jun 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take stock of the key themes and events driving the global fixed income ...
Are we in for a hot, sticky summer (for inflation)?
26 May 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episodes of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Joann Spadigam, and Kevin Cummins dig into the latest inflation dynamics and discuss potential impl...
Suffering for conviction
19 May 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at the latest US debt ceiling drama and the impact on...
Are more rate hikes from the Bank of England on the horizon?
12 May 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Ross Walker, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debrief after the latest Bank of England rate decision and discuss the pat...
With fresh rate hikes delivered by the Fed and ECB, will the BoE follow suit?
05 May 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi look ahead to May's Bank of England MPC meeting. They debrief after...
The ECB looks likely to hike but will the Fed hit pause?
27 Apr 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debate whether markets are right to price rate hikes at the upcoming Fed...
With inflation stickier than expected, are fresh rate hikes all but guaranteed?
20 Apr 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Kevin Cummins wade through the latest inflation data and discuss the potential impac...
Are markets right to build back rate hike expectations?
13 Apr 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take stock after a week of fresh central bank minutes and speeches. They...
It’s never a quiet week in rates markets
05 Apr 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Joann Spadigam, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at this weeks' labour market data in the US,...
With fresh hikes signed, sealed, and delivered, where do rates go from here?
23 Mar 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Kevin Cummins, and Giles Gale debrief after another volatile week. They discuss the latest Bank of E...
Caught between financial stability and inflation, which will central banks choose?
16 Mar 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giles Gale discuss central bank decision-making following a week that saw financial...
The UK Budget, Fed speak, and what to expect from the ECB
09 Mar 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giles Gale discuss the upcoming Spring Statement and revised gilt supply forecast i...
As rates near our targets, will momentum turn from here?
02 Mar 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giles Gale discuss the big drivers for UK gilt supply in the coming months, and the...
What the latest data does (and doesn’t) mean for inflation and central banks
24 Feb 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giles Gale give their views on current turnaround signals, latest central bank spea...
Fresh data with a side of supply
16 Feb 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Joann Spadigam debrief after a week of big data releases and take a closer look at ...
Hawks gonna squawk
09 Feb 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Joann Spadigam share their perspectives on how markets should interpret the hawkish...
With a trio of hikes delivered, where will rates head from here?
02 Feb 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debrief after a busy week of global central bank meetings, and discuss w...
As central banks climb towards peak rates, what risks should markets care about?
26 Jan 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Kevin Cummins share their expectations for a busy week of global central bank meetin...
Cooling energy costs, mixed data, and the BoJ's pushback
20 Jan 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi dig into an expansive set of factors driving fixed income markets this w...
Is inflation really in retreat?
12 Jan 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Giles Gale, Ross Walker and Jan Nevruzi take a look at some of the factors shaping the inflation outlook, the poten...
Data, supply, and new year quirks
06 Jan 2023
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss some of the big drivers for fixed income markets in the first fe...
Central banks end the year on a hike note, will bond markets curb their enthusiasm in 2023?
15 Dec 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and John Briggs debrief after a busy week of central bank meetings and discuss the impli...
The Fed, the BoE, and the ECB - oh my!
09 Dec 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the key factors for markets to watch ahead of a trifecta of impo...
What's the deal with the latest rally?
01 Dec 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the latest US data print, the unwinding of post-mini budget bond...
The Year Ahead special - what's driving rates in 2023?
23 Nov 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this special Year Ahead episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss their views on the big themes and events driving fi...
Is the policy pivot back on?
10 Nov 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the latest US inflation print and the impact on investor sentime...
Can central banks have their cake and eat it, too?
04 Nov 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debrief after a busy week of central bank meetings and interest rate hik...
Rate hikes, supply spikes, and a closer look at data
27 Oct 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi debrief after the European Central Bank meeting and look ahead at what t...
Political twists and tightening bits
20 Oct 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi digest the latest twist in the UK political landscape and take a closer ...
Fiscal or monetary policy pivot?
14 Oct 2022
Contributed by Lukas
The UK continues to dominate global markets, but it is not quiet elsewhere either. In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and J...
The old LDI (of Threadneedle Street) is for turning
07 Oct 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at rising yields in the UK, renewed discussion of cen...
The dust settles in the UK (for now), where to for fixed income?
29 Sep 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and John Briggs debrief after a volatile week in UK markets to understand the global, me...
What does the latest hiking cycle mean for bonds & FX?
23 Sep 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this special crossover episode of Bondcast and the Weekly Watch, John Briggs, Jan Nevruzi, and Paul Robson debrief after a series of (very differen...
Rates are shooting higher, faster - how will bond markets respond?
15 Sep 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Giles Gale, Jan Nevruzi, and Ross Walker discuss how the latest US inflation print, the UK fiscal outlook, and euro...
Big changes in the bond supply picture are afoot
08 Sep 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the European Central Bank's latest presser, explore impact ...
See you in September
19 Aug 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi dig into a deluge of recently released data, discuss the potential impac...
Summer markets? What summer markets?
12 Aug 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at how bond markets are digesting the latest US infla...
In a battle between inflation and growth, the BoE chose inflation - what's the impact on the policy outlook?
04 Aug 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and Jan Nevruzi discuss the latest Bank of England meeting and what the Bank Rate hike means for mark...
'Data dependent, meeting-by-meeting' is the new central bank mantra
29 Jul 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Kevin Cummins, and Giovanni Zanni digest the latest Fed meeting and discuss the path for future rate...
Markets and central banks are in an inflationship, but it's complicated
21 Jul 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giovanni Zanni debrief after the latest European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, dive i...
When inflation bites and geopolitics spikes, where do bond investors go?
15 Jul 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the impact of the latest US inflation print, fears over European...
What. A. Week.
08 Jul 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the market reaction to the political drama that unfolded in the ...
When volatility is high and conviction low, where should bond investors go?
01 Jul 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi read the tea leaves on Sintra central banking conference, digest the lat...
Have we reached peak inflation - and what does that mean for investors?
24 Jun 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi talk about the hand-off from inflation to growth as the big theme drivin...
Markets are breaking up... it's not me, it's EU (and US)
17 Jun 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi make sense of the latest bout of market volatility following a trio of c...
Europe's getting more hawkish, what will the Fed and the BoE do?
10 Jun 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Kevin Cummins digest the European Central Bank's recent hawkish shift and discu...
Markets are more settled but tension between growth & inflation puts tightening in the spotlight
26 May 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the impact of a fresh UK fiscal injection on the outlook for bon...
Are markets convinced that central banks can keep inflation in check?
20 May 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this special crossover episode of Bondcast and The Weekly Watch, John Briggs, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the latest UK inflation prints an...
Does US inflation put 75bp hikes back on the table?
13 May 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the latest US inflation print and share perspectives on market p...
Markets are taking UK and US rate hikes well, so why are European spreads volatile?
06 May 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi discuss the most recent Fed and Bank of England meetings, and read the t...
Hawks and doves are in full flight - how will they land at the Fed and BoE meetings?
28 Apr 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at what we expect from the upcoming Fed and Bank of E...
Most roads lead to higher rates - how will markets respond?
22 Apr 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Jan Nevruzi take a closer look at how the shift higher in UK and European bond yield...
In a game of chicken, who blinks first - central banks or inflation?
14 Apr 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Jan Nevruzi, and Giovanni Zanni take a closer look at how markets (and central banks) are digesting ...
The Fed is putting the pace of quantitative tightening in focus globally – what does that mean for bond markets?
08 Apr 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and Giles Gale discuss the most recent Fed minutes release and potential implications for other regio...
Will taming inflation come at the cost of growth?
31 Mar 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In the latest episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe and Jan Nevruzi for the US – ...
Inflation and supply are in the driving seat - how is that influencing our outlook for rates?
24 Mar 2022
Contributed by Lukas
Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe and Brian Daingerfield for the US – discuss the resurgence in Eu...
Central bank rate forecasts look cloudy with a chance of monetary policy divergence
18 Mar 2022
Contributed by Lukas
Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe and Jan Nevruzi for the US – discuss central bank rate forecasts...
Uncertainty is rising – but monetary hawks seem undaunted
11 Mar 2022
Contributed by Lukas
Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe, Jan Nevruzi for the US, and special guest Brian Daingerfield – ...
On crisis and conviction – how should investors think about bond market volatility from here?
04 Mar 2022
Contributed by Lukas
John Briggs and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe and Jan Nevruzi for the US – discuss the impact of the Ukraine inv...
How geopolitics could influence the monetary tightening path – and what that means for markets
24 Feb 2022
Contributed by Lukas
Could the escalating crisis in Ukraine sway central banks to tweak their monetary tightening plans? Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of spec...
Will central banks overshoot to calm inflation?
18 Feb 2022
Contributed by Lukas
It’s been a week full of policy chatter across the globe. Get our take on next central bank rate moves and how markets might react from the NatWes...
Monetary hawks are soaring high, but are markets pricing excessive rate hikes?
11 Feb 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, guest host John Briggs and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Giles Gale for Europe and Jan Nevruzi for the US –...
With major central banks spooked by inflation, where to next on the global tightening path?
04 Feb 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of specialists – Ross Walker for the UK, Giles Gale for Europe, and Jan Nevr...
Rate hikes, geopolitical spikes, and volatility strikes – another big week for bond markets
28 Jan 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Theo Chapsalis for the UK, Giles Gale for Europe, and Jan N...
Bund yields FINALLY crossed over into positive territory – where to from here?
20 Jan 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe and Jan Nevruzi for the US – discus...
Detours on the path towards normalisation
12 Jan 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
A hawkish surprise, supply dynamics, and quantitative tightening
07 Jan 2022
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
The hawks are winning at Angry Birds – what does this mean for rates markets in early 2022?
16 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
What we expect from the big three central banks in December and how markets could react
09 Dec 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, John Briggs and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan Nev...
Year Ahead Edition: What does 2022 hold for rates & currencies?
25 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this special Year Ahead episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra, Giles Gale, and Paul Robson share their perspectives on the global rates & currenci...
Why we may see higher yields yet
18 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe and Theo Chapsalis for the UK – dis...
Are the stagflation and policy mistake narratives overdone?
11 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
Tinker, Taper, Steeper, Sigh
05 Nov 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
For monetary policy hawks, birds of a feather flock together – except for the ECB
28 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giovanni Zanni for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and J...
Are investors and central banks diverging on the path towards monetary policy tightening?
22 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
Should investors be worried about central bank missteps?
15 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
Green gilts, corporate inflation fears, and US political deadlock
08 Oct 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan...
How hauliers, energy prices, and politics are driving rates markets
29 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan N...
Central banks are getting spooked by inflation – should investors be worried?
23 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, John Briggs and the NatWest Markets team of strategists – Giles Gale for Europe, Theo Chapsalis for the UK, and Jan Nev...
Upcoming central bank meetings, European inflation and other potential surprises in rates
16 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sharpen your view with our insights & fixed income analysis. Our market strategists discuss the biggest themes & events shaping the landscape....
The ECB takes some PEPP out of its step – what does that mean for markets?
09 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
What could the upcoming ECB meeting & US jobs reports mean for markets?
02 Sep 2021
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Bondcast, Imogen Bachra and the NatWest Markets team of strategists –Giles Gale for Europe and John Briggs for the US – discuss...
Bondcast: should markets expect higher yields from here?
27 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sharpen your view with our insights & fixed income analysis. Our market strategists discuss the biggest themes & events shaping the landscape....
Bondcast: labour, inflation, or politics – what’s ultimately going to move bond markets in September?
26 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sharpen your view with our insights & fixed income analysis. Our market strategists discuss the biggest themes & events shaping the landscape....
Bondcast: as central banks gear up to tighten, will the economy throw markets a yield curveball?
26 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sharpen your view with our insights & fixed income analysis. Our market strategists discuss the biggest themes & events shaping the landscape....
Bondcast: monetary policy hawks are circling but bond yields are falling… why?
26 Aug 2021
Contributed by Lukas
Sharpen your view with our insights & fixed income analysis. Our market strategists discuss the biggest themes & events shaping the landscape....