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CommSec Market Update

PM 12 Jun 26: Best day in 2 months for ASX

12 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

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a listener production.

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7.203 - 22.697 Steve Daghlian

Best eight months for the Aussie share market. SpaceX is set to make its US market debut. And one of the key events investors should be watching next week. Good afternoon. I'm Steve Daglian. It's Friday, the 12th of June. Welcome to the CommSec Market Update.

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Chapter 2: What factors contributed to the ASX's best day in two months?

23.42 - 38.084 Steve Daghlian

Well, happy Friday, everyone. In fact, it was finally a happy Friday. We haven't been able to say that for a while for markets. But today, the ASX 200 managed to lift by around 2%. That is the strongest lift for our share market in a little over two months.

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38.625 - 52.468 Steve Daghlian

And what a difference a day makes, because there were comments this morning by President Trump that the US and Iran could actually sign a peace deal as soon as this weekend. which would reopen the Strait of Hummus to shipping, according to the president.

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53.009 - 73.542 Steve Daghlian

That was more than enough to make what has otherwise been a pretty volatile, uninspired week, holiday-shortened week for our share market look much better than it would have otherwise. So this week, we're up in the order of 2.1%. That is the best weekly advance that we've actually seen locally since early April as well. It's also just enough to push the market higher than

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73.673 - 93.661 Steve Daghlian

into positive territory for the 2026 calendar year. Now, a lot has happened, of course, and there've been quite a few drivers across markets, but really globally, there have been just a few things that have been capturing the market's attention most. Just a reminder that the start of the week on Tuesday for us here, of course, will close on Monday for the King's birthday holiday.

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94.062 - 111.547 Steve Daghlian

The market had its first opportunity to react to the stronger jobs data that was out of the United States. And what that did is kind of had an effect of kind of concerning markets that there might be an interest rate hike in the United States this year, rather than potentially one by March next year, which is what the market had previously been pricing in.

111.867 - 130.073 Steve Daghlian

But once again, really, it was the situation in the Middle East that has played a pretty important role in the direction of markets. So yes, today's news was obviously very well received, but we've got to remember, it's easy to forget this, that a couple of days ago, we had the most significant escalation in the conflict between the US and Iran last

130.053 - 151.875 Steve Daghlian

since the ceasefire first was agreed on in early April as well. So we know that the situation is quite fluid, it's fast changing, and I think we shouldn't get too carried away with good or bad news at the moment. So of course, developments on that front over the weekend could certainly be important for what we see in markets on Monday here in Australia. But all

151.855 - 171.673 Steve Daghlian

Also, that news out of the Middle East has certainly had a pretty meaningful effect on our market and impact on our market today. So one of the best improvers of the session has actually been the materials, which are up in the order of 3.7%. When we say the materials, of course, that includes those big miners which dominate that sector. So they've shot up on that Middle East optimism.

172.013 - 195.008 Steve Daghlian

That's as the US dollar's fallen. It's helped commodity prices lift, and that has included things like copper and aluminium as well. So one of the key contributors there was BHP, which is up 3.5%, Fortescue Metals up about 3.1%, and Rio Tinto up in the order of 2.5%. So we've got to remember that some of these or many of these stocks have done quite poorly over the past week.

Chapter 3: How did Middle East developments impact investor sentiment?

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due to falling iron ore prices, but they've rebounded today. Outside of this, we've also got some pretty meaningful improvements coming through from most sectors. I mean, industrials are up 1.5%, consumer discretionary up more than two. We've got the financials, those big banks that struggled yesterday, they're up in the order of 1.6%.

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212.653 - 233.644 Steve Daghlian

And the only losers really have come through in energy and also telco sectors. Now, Energy is not really surprising, considering that, of course, we did see the oil price dropping back on a bit more hope and optimism on a US-Iran peace deal. That essentially has pushed many of the stocks in this sector down. So Viva Energy was one of the worst today.

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233.724 - 254.334 Steve Daghlian

Karun Gas, Beach, Woodside, Santos, they all made it on that losers list. Also, REA Group, outside of resources, was another underperformer today. It's down about 3%. So it received a broker downgrade today. basically warned, this broker did, that a slowdown in the property market could reduce property listings and in turn profits.

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254.354 - 273.181 Steve Daghlian

So of course, REA is the group behind Property Classifieds, the website realestate.com.au, and it's majority owned by News Corp, which still owns about 60% of the company. So News Corp shares also heading south. Now, there were some individual winners on the market, which we can't forget. Many of these were actually gold miners.

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273.582 - 292.888 Steve Daghlian

Now, gold prices had slumped by more than 8% over the prior four trading sessions on concerns of higher rates in the United States, but also fears of a broadening war in and around Iran. That's something that had pushed the US dollar higher. But the fact that things had calmed a little, that was one reason why gold really dominated the top 10 winners list today.

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So stocks like Genesis Minerals that has just had six straight days of declines, up 11% today. Pantoro Gold, which has had its first lift since last Wednesday, up about 10%. But also Bellevue Gold, Aurobanda Mining, Emerald Resources, Evolution, Newmont, Northern Star. I mean, they've all, for the most part, improved by 5% or more today. And also Magellan Financial is up in the order of 5%.

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And this is after the ACCC said that its proposed merger with Baron Joey can proceed as scheduled from early July. It's proposed to rebrand from Magellan to Baron Joey Group. And at the same time, wants to change its ticker code to BJY as well. So it has, of course, been a pretty rough ride for the investment manager since more than doubling on the ASX in 2019.

339.969 - 359.937 Steve Daghlian

It's basically gone from a peak of about $74 per share to less than $10 per share today. So over the week, if we had to take stock of how we've done, I mean, Steadfast was one of the best improvers. This is the insurance broker. It received a takeover offer from a group of investors. It was up like 30% a couple of days ago.

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Glenn Lease, another standout this week after the property group appointed a new boss and confirmed it's on track to meet its profit goals for the year. And one of the worst performers of the week has been Sigma Healthcare. This is the chemist warehouse operator, and it confirms speculation that it's thinking about acquiring a UK-based health and beauty retailer called Boots.

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