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Dairy Insights: Heard Mentality

Business

Activity Overview

Episode publication activity over the past year

Episodes

Episode 52 - Animal Diseases Keep Hitting Dairy

18 Dec 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Lumpy Skin Disease continues to spread in Europe, Bluetongue was recently found in Northern Ireland for the first time and bird flu was found in dairy...

Episode 51 - When will the market turn?

24 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We've seen sharp drops in dairy prices, is there any reason to be bullish right now? When will the market start to turn higher?

Episode 50 - Bearish Gulf Food

12 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Market talk at Gulf Foods, one of the largest global food trade fairs, was mostly bearish, centered on when is the dairy market going to bottom out.

Episode 49 - What is happening in the cattle market?

04 Nov 2025

Contributed by Lukas

U.S. dairy farmers have been earning more and more of their income from the sale of calves and slaughter cows over the past 3 years. Gavin McPherson j...

Episode 48 - Plenty of milk in NZ but tight in AU

22 Oct 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Dustin Winston was in Australia and Singapore and attended the SGX-NZX conference and talks about what he heard about milk production for New Zealand ...

Episode 47 - New OTC Swaps for EU WPC and FFMP

14 Oct 2025

Contributed by Lukas

StoneX has announced a new partnership to add dairy prices reported by Expana to StoneX Plus and launch OTC swaps that will settle to some of those pr...

EU Dairy Demand Weakening

18 Sep 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We held our annual EU outlook conference in Dublin Ireland last week and the sentiment was very bearish for the European dairy market. The supply side...

Episode 45 - U.S. Butter Price Collapses, Cheese Next?

08 Sep 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Summary: The CME spot butter price fell 17% during August hitting the lowest levels of 2025. I talk with Dave Kurzawski about the declines in butter a...

Episode 44 - EU Butter and Cheese Prices Down

15 Aug 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Summary: We've seen OTC cheese and butter prices for the fourth quarter drop about 10% from their recent highs as milk production in Europe, and elsew...

Episode 43 - GDT Prices and the Fat Market

12 Aug 2025

Contributed by Lukas

GDT results last week were mixed with AMF prices up but butter prices down and WMP prices counter seasonally increasing. Nate Donnay talks with Niall ...

Episode 42 - Lumpy Skin Disease in the EU

10 Jul 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We can now add Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) to the list of diseases impacting dairy cows in Europe along with Bluetongue and Foot and Mouth (FMD). John La...

Episode 41 - Are dairy futures driving the spot market

02 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

CME spot cheese and butter prices have rallied almost 40 cents a pound and 30 cents a pound from their recent lows to their peaks last week. Dave Kurz...

Episode 40 - US and EU Cheese Markets

21 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We've seen a significant rally in U.S. spot cheese and future prices and some significant strength in deferred EU OTC prices. Desmond Strelzow joins m...

Episode 39 - EU Butter and Cheese Markets Still Have Buy Side Support

06 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

EEX butter futures have been trending a little lower, but every time they dip, buyers seem to show up. We've seen a similar pattern for cheese but EEX...

Episode 38 - GDT_SGX Rally and Growth in Chinese Milk Production

22 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

YiFan Li comes on to talk about the strength we've seen in GDT/SGX prices and NBS data suggesting milk production in China was up 1.7% during the firs...

Episode 37 - Whats Up and Down in the US Dairy Market

14 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

This week I talk to Dave Kurzawski about the U.S. spot and futures markets and the impact that tariffs or threats of tariffs have had.

Episode 36 - Foot and Mouth Spreading in Europe?

03 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

During March there were 2 new cases of FMD in Hungary and 5 new ones in Slovakia. Florian Hildebrand joins me to discuss the spread of FDM and what we...

Episode 35 - NZ Developments and FMD in Hungary

13 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

A second case of foot and mouth disease has been discovered in Europe and John Lancaster discusses what he saw and heard around weather and milk produ...

Episode 34 - Gulfood and Global Dairy Demand

26 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We got a pulse check on global dairy demand with Gulfood and the ONIL tender last week. It's not time for the defibrillator yet, but things aren't gre...

Episode 33 - Mexico and the NFDM_SMP Market

21 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

NFDM and SMP prices across the major dairy exporters were all lower this week. Alfredo Resendiz Rojo has been in contact with buyers and traders of NF...

Episode 32 - EU Dairy Markets Softening

06 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

We've seen choppy but downward trending price action in EEX butter and SMP futures. Fearghal McCabe comes on to talk about what he is seeing in the EU...

Episode 31 - IDFA Sentiment and Corn Rally

30 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

The annual IDFA Dairy Forum took place this week with record attendance and plenty of talk about the dairy markets. Kyle Schrad shares his take aways ...

Episode 30 - GDT Rally, China and SEA Demand 1

27 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

GDT prices were up this week, Chinese imports for December were stronger than expected and government statistics suggest Chinese milk production was d...

Episode 29 - Foot and Mouth Disease in Germany

17 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Foot and Mouth Disease has been detected in Germany which has both supply and demand implications for the dairy markets globally. John Lancaster and A...

Episode 28 - 2025 Dairy Markets are Starting Strong

10 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 27 - Record Drop in California Milk Production

24 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Milk production in California during November was down 9.2% from last year which was a record decline. Dave Kurzawski talks about impacts for the mark...

Episode 26 - EU Markets Weaker Ahead of Year End 1

12 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Milk production in Europe is growing again, both year-over-year and seasonally while buyers are stepping away from the market for the year-end holiday...

Episode 25 - Surprising GDT and ONIL_Vinamilk Tenders

05 Dec 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Will GDT WMP break the $4,000 mark? YiFan Li discusses the surprising GDT Event results and we talk about the ONIL and Vinamilk tenders that just wrap...

Episode 24 - Mexico NFDM Demand

22 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Alfredo Resendiz-Rojo leads our efforts to develop dairy risk management in Latin America. This week he comes on the podcast to talk about Brazil and ...

Episode 23 - Gulf Food and India's Dairy Exports

15 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 22 - The incredibly orderly collapse in Class III

07 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 21 - Nate and Dave Were Wrong

01 Nov 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 20 - SIAL in Paris and French Weather

24 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

SIAL is one of the biggest food trade shows in Europe and just wrapped up. In this episode, I talk with Aureilien Houitte from our team who attended S...

Episode 19 - More on SGX Dairy Conference and Australia

16 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Dustin Winston, Commodity Market Analyst on the dairy team, spent a few weeks traveling around Australia and attending the SGX dairy conference in Sin...

Episode 18 - SGX Conference Recap

10 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Market sentiment at the SGX dairy conference was mixed. Our newest team member, Jeanette Tan, from our Singapore office shares what she heard from the...

Episode 17 - Butter Prices Come off the Boil

03 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

EU and U.S. butter prices have collapsed, although EU prices have rallied back a bit. I talk with Desmond Strelzow from the Dublin office about what i...

Episode 16 - CME Barrel Cheese At Record High

03 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

CME spot barrels made a new record high at $2.6225/lb. ($5,780/MT) and U.S. milk production remains weak with bird flu now spreading through the dair...

Episode 15 - StoneX EU Outlook Conference Recap

03 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

We had record attendance at our European Dairy Market Outlook & Risk Management Forum in Dublin Ireland last week. I talk with John Lancaster abou...

Episode 13 - Equity Market Meltdown

03 Oct 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The global financial markets were looking scary Monday, but what are the implications for the real economy and dairy demand?

Episode 14 - Bluetongue in Europe

28 Aug 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Bluetongue disease is hitting dairy farms in the Netherlands, Germany, France and Belgium and reducing milk production. Florian Hildebrand shares what...

Episode 12 - EEX Liquid Milk Futures Contract Changes

29 Jul 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The EEX is changing the contract specification for their liquid milk futures contract which could lead to more liquidity across the European dairy con...

Episode 11 - Weak U.S. Milk Production and Stronger Prices

26 Jul 2024

Contributed by Lukas

U.S. milk production was weaker than expected in June, will the supply side story be enough to push dairy prices to new highs this year?

Episode 10 - GDT Results and Chinese Dairy Market

19 Jul 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Prices at the GlobalDairyTrade auction (GDT) were better than expected this week and milk production growth in China has slowed down, what is there to...

Episode 9 - Feed Costs and U.S. Dairy Farm Margins

11 Jul 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Feed costs like corn and soybeans are hitting multi-year lows which is boosting profitability for U.S. dairy farmers, will we get stronger milk produc...

Episode 8 - EU Market Update

03 Jul 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Dairy prices at the GDT Event were down a surprising 6.9% this week which is helping to feed the bearish sentiment in the EU dairy market.

Episode 7 - Bullish USDA Dairy Reports

27 Jun 2024

Contributed by Lukas

U.S. milk production for May was weaker than forecast and U.S. cheese and butter stocks for May were also weaker than expected. Nate Donnay and Dave K...

Episode 6 - New Zealand Fieldays and StoneX Trading App for NZ Farmers

20 Jun 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Fieldays is the biggest agricultural get-together in New Zealand. Nate Donnay talks with Matt Manning who attended this year to launch a new financial...

Episode 5 - Possible Chinese Tariffs on EU Dairy Products

14 Jun 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The EU Commission has announced anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and China is threatening retaliatory tariffs on European agricultura...

Episode 4 - U.S. Dairy Prices Test Recent Highs

07 Jun 2024

Contributed by Lukas

I talk to Dave Kurzawski, Team Lead in Chicago, about the rally and fizzle we've seen in U.S. cheese and butter prices this week.

Episode 3 - What's Happening in China

30 May 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Lu Shi attended the China Dairy Industry Annual Conference in Changsha this week and she shares what she learned there.

Episode 2 - Eucolait

24 May 2024

Contributed by Lukas

The European butter market has rallied sharply in the past two weeks. Nate Donnay and John Lancaster, Head of EMEA Dairy and Food Consulting, talk abo...

Episode 1 - CME Cheese and EU SMP

17 May 2024

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 1: CME spot cheese prices have rallied 50 cents and nearby Class III milk futures are up $4 to $5 per hundredweight while SMP and butter price...

Trailer for StoneX Dairy Insights: Heard Mentality

10 May 2024

Contributed by Lukas