Daybreak with Anton

Episode 56. Slowing and Growing

05 Apr 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Recent economic reports on labor and manufacturing are indicating a slowing but growing economy. In this Weekly Brief we review several reports that t...

Episode 55. Business Inventories Running Low

30 Mar 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Inventories are dropping for manufacturing and trade companies while rising for retail businesses.  A mixed bag of information that may indicate that...

Episode 54. Consumers Emotion Out of Sync to their Spending

22 Mar 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Consumer sentiment drops, but will it affect spending? Find out why tracking spending habits is a better predictor of the economy than consumer sentim...

Episode 53. Lessons From The Silicon Valley Bank Collapse

15 Mar 2023

Contributed by Lukas

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank may not be a systemic issue prevalent in the banking sector. However, there are challenges in t...

Episode 52. Factory Orders are Rising

08 Mar 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Yesterday's Factory Orders indicated that consumer spending remains in positive up trend and a good start of the year. The US economy remains in a pos...

Episode 51. Melting Recession Worries

01 Mar 2023

Contributed by Lukas

The doomsayers predicting a recession in late 2022 or in 2023 so far are thankfully incorrect.  The US GDP gained momentum in the second half of 2022...

Episode 50. Will Home Sales Spring Back?

22 Feb 2023

Contributed by Lukas

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their monthly housing sales report this morning.  The bad news is the report indicated a 12th con...

Episode 49. Economic Landing Zone

15 Feb 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Analysts have been forecasting a hard landing for the economy in 2023 due to many concerns that include the aggressive rate hike policy by the Federal...

Episode 48. After the Storm

08 Feb 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Spring and summer always follow winter. No matter how cold or deep the snow, spring is only a few months away. If history is a guide to the future of ...

Episode 47. Benefits at the Bottom

02 Feb 2023

Contributed by Lukas

The advantage of being at the bottom of market cycles is the potential for significant gains during the recovery can be terrific. In this issue we out...

Episode 46. US Soft Landing

25 Jan 2023

Contributed by Lukas

The Federal Reserve started a rate hike policy on March 17, 2022, that continued throughout the year, targeting to lower inflation based on several in...

Episode 45. Planning to Win

18 Jan 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Another year over and a new year starting.  If there is any time to get ahead of your schedule and plan and take proactive steps towards your goals, ...

Episode. 44 Listen to the Fed's

11 Jan 2023

Contributed by Lukas

Jerome Powell, head of the Federal Reserve, wants to reduce inflation by raising interest rates. This is important to investors and affects industries...

Episode. 44 New Year, New Start

04 Jan 2023

Contributed by Lukas

With a new year is new hope for an improving stock market.  In this Weekly Brief we review many of the anomalies that impacted almost all sectors of ...

Episode 43. Don't Fight the Feds

14 Dec 2022

Contributed by Lukas

DFTF or "Don't Fight the Feds" has been the theme for investors this year.  The steady decline of the stock market has been matched by the aggressive...

Episode 42. US Economic Engine Chugs On

07 Dec 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Mixed news this week as factory orders continue to increase with one of the longest consecutive run of monthly increases since 1992.  However, the IS...

Episode 41. Sentiment vs Market

01 Dec 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 40. Thankful

23 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

In this week's episode, Anton shares some stories in his recent months and reasons he is thankful - also, why you might be too!

Episode 39. Actors of our Financial Theater

17 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Over the past 30 years of managing investor portfolios, the theater of financial markets has produced some of the most interesting and sometimes comic...

Episode 38. Rebalancing The US Economy

09 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The US continues to improve in nearly every industry sector and none better than the record 23 consecutive monthly gain in factory and manufacturing p...

Episode 37. Seasons

02 Nov 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The next 60 days represent the "holiday season" and for us some of the most memorable times of the year. Read in this Brief the joys of this time of t...

Episode 36. Life is One Long Hike

19 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Life is like one long hike. Planning, preparation, and proper supplies will assure a successful hike as it will also in life. Listen to this issue, ou...

Episode 35. It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like…

05 Oct 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The holiday season is near and in this Weekly Brief we review projections for holiday sales this season.  The stock market has started the fourth qua...

Episode 34. This Too Will Pass

28 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

History has many experiences of the Dow Jones Industrial Average selling off and entering new bear markets (down 20%). However, the Dow Jones has alw...

Episode 33. Is Party Over for Real Estate?

21 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Is the housing market on track for another bust of declining home prices and high vacancies?  Listen in this Weekly Brief our review of this week's N...

Episode 32. Thoughts from Industry Leaders

14 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

This week I attended the Advisor Circle Future Proof  conference in Huntington Beach, CA.  In this Brief I review comments from key speakers on the ...

Episode 31. Longer Perspectives

07 Sep 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The saying is the stock market rises like a staircase and drops like an elevator.  Listen in this Weekly Brief why we remain optimistic and propose p...

Episode 30. The Children of Wall Street

31 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Jerome Powell gave his speech last week and Wall Street is having a fit.  Federal Reserve is not giving them what they want!  Can the Federal Reserv...

Episode 29. Reigning in Inflation

24 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Is housing about to experience another crash like 2008?  Listen in this Brief our analysis of last week's existing and new housing sales reports and ...

Episode 28. Done with Bonds

17 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The stock market is in recovery, but the bond market is not.  Why are stocks going up and bonds declining in value?  Listen in this Weekly Brief as ...

Episode 27. Jobs, Jobs, and More Jobs

10 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

There are more jobs available in the US than in recent history.  Last week the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that over 528,000 new jobs were fi...

Episode 26. More Bad News That is Good

03 Aug 2022

Contributed by Lukas

More bad economic news is music to the ears of the Federal Reserve.  Listen in this Weekly Brief why this is good news not only for the Federal Reser...

Episode 25. The Market is not the Economy

27 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Again the market proves that it looks to where the economy is going and not where its been. Last month there was record setting bad economic data whil...

Episode 24. Bad News is Good

20 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

When is bad news good?   (e.g. your distant uncle died and you have an inheritance)  The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) index dropped...

Episode 23. Deciphering the CPI

13 Jul 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics released it's Consumer Price Index report that at high level appears to be on a torrid rise not seen since Novemb...

Episode 22. Next Housing Boom or Bust

29 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Now that fixed mortgage rates have ballooned 100% these past several months will housing continue to boom or bust?  More importantly, what will be th...

Episode 21. Jerome Powell the Gaint Slayer

22 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Giant slayer Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman, is battling the giant of hyperinflation. Listen in this Weekly Brief our analysis of his bat...

Episode 20. Perspectives

15 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Consumer sentiment drops to the lowest level in recorded history since the 1940's.  How bad is our economy and why are people so depressed?  Listen ...

Episode 19. Investing During a Recession

08 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Is the US in approaching a recession, already in a recession, or nearly completing a recession?  Listen in this Brief the true definition of a recess...

Episode 18. Identifying Market Bottoms

01 Jun 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Can investor herd mentality predict stock market bottoms and tops? Listen in this report one indicator that has consistently preceded the next stock m...

Episode 17. Lemonade with Lemons

25 May 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Making lemonade from lemons can be achieved even during stock market corrections. How?  Tax loss harvesting that you can apply against capital gains ...

Episode 16. New Market Lows, Buffet Buys

18 May 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The stock market reached new lows for the year along with consumer sentiment dropping to 59.1 and a level not seen in eleven years.  However, every t...

Episode 15. US Productivity Plummets

11 May 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Tomorrow the media will be blasting news of the biggest decline in US employee productivity since 1947!  Yes, this is a large decline but the America...

Episode 14. Recession Worries?

04 May 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Google "Recession Risk for 2022" and you have 128,000,000 articles to read.  But how can we determine the true status of the US economy?  Look no fu...

Episode 13. Cooling Housing Market

27 Apr 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 12. Are Bonds Still a Good Investment?

20 Apr 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 11. Separating Global Economy

13 Apr 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The past two years has caused wide variances of economic growth among counties and between states in the US.  Read in this Brief where the biggest ch...

Episode 10. Life Assessment and Feelings

06 Apr 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Your feelings can mislead you into poor investment decisions that may result in sub-par returns. In this Brief, the data from the US Bureau of Census ...

Episode 9. Markets Turn Positive

30 Mar 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The major indices appear to be continuing a positive trend that began March 14. In this Brief a deeper dive into this analysis and the evidence this m...

Episode 8. Weird Wonky Wild Interest Rates

23 Mar 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Listen in to Anton talk to you about the weird interest rate fluctuations that have been happening, and what this means to you & the future of our eco...

Episode 7. Inflation on the Rise

16 Mar 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The Producers Price Index indicated what most Americans already know, prices are going up and faster then most would like.  Gas prices have spiked bu...

Episode 6. Buy Low Sell High

09 Mar 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The stock market continues to fluctuate as investors worry about Ukraine, inflation, rising costs, and a myriad of other issues.  In this Brief, we l...

Episode 5. Consumers and Support of US Economy

02 Mar 2022

Contributed by Lukas

In this Brief we unpack the recent Consumer Spending and Gross Domestic Product reports and what we can learn from them and more importantly what it m...

Episode 4. This Too Shall Pass

23 Feb 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Episode 3. Future of Inflation

15 Feb 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The media is reporting inflation growth not seen since the 1980's.  Is this the beginning of years of hyper-inflation or is there more to the story? ...

Episode 2. How Productive are We?

09 Feb 2022

Contributed by Lukas

The US continues to recover from the 2020 pandemic and companies are resuming their productivity.  How is productivity defined and why is it importan...

Episode 1. Learning from the Media

09 Feb 2022

Contributed by Lukas

Understand the media and you will have great insight on interpreting investor behavior. In this Brief, we evaluate recent articles, the possible 2022 ...