Are We A Circular Firing Squad? — with Holly Elmore, Executive Director of PauseAI US

Eliezer Yudkowsky can warn humankind that If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies and get on the New York Times bestseller list, but he won’t get upvoted to the top of LessWrong.According to the leaders of LessWrong, that’s intentional. The rationalist community thinks aggregating community support for important claims is “political fighting”.Unfortunately, the idea that some other community will strongly rally behind Eliezer Yudkowsky’s message while LessWrong “stays out of the fray” and purposely prevents mutual knowledge of support from being displayed, is unrealistic.Our refusal to aggregate the rationalist community beliefs into signals and actions is why we live in a world where rationalists with double-digit P(Doom)s join AI-race companies instead of AI-pause movements.We let our community become a circular firing squad. What did we expect?Timestamps00:00:00 — Cold Open00:00:32 — Introducing Holly Elmore, Exec. Director of PauseAI US00:03:12 — “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”00:10:07 — What’s Your P(Doom)™00:12:55 — Liron’s Review of IABIED00:15:29 — Encouraging Early Joiners to a Movement00:26:30 — MIRI’s Communication Issues00:33:52 — Government Officials’ Reviews of IABIED00:40:33 — Emmett Shear’s Review of IABIED00:42:47 — Michael Nielsen’s Review of IABIED00:45:35 — New York Times Review of IABIED00:49:56 — Will MacAskill’s Review of IABIED01:11:49 — Clara Collier’s Review of IABIED01:22:17 — Vox Article Review01:28:08 — The Circular Firing Squad01:37:02 — Why Our Kind Can’t Cooperate01:49:56 — LessWrong’s Lukewarm Show of Support02:02:06 — The “Missing Mood” of Support02:16:13 — Liron’s “Statement of Support for IABIED”02:18:49 — LessWrong Community’s Reactions to the Statement02:29:47 — Liron & Holly’s Hopes for the Community02:39:01 — Call to ActionSHOW NOTESPauseAI US — https://pauseai-us.orgPauseAI US Upcoming Events — https://pauseai-us.org/eventsInternational PauseAI — https://pauseai.infoHolly’s Twitter — https://x.com/ilex_ulmusReferenced Essays & Posts* Liron’s Eliezer Yudkowsky interview post on LessWrong — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kiNbFKcKoNQKdgTp8/interview-with-eliezer-yudkowsky-on-rationality-and* Liron’s “Statement of Support for If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aPi4HYA9ZtHKo6h8N/statement-of-support-for-if-anyone-builds-it-everyone-dies* “Why Our Kind Can’t Cooperate” by Eliezer Yudkowsky (2009) — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7FzD7pNm9X68Gp5ZC/why-our-kind-can-t-cooperate* “Something to Protect” by Eliezer Yudkowsky — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SGR4GxFK7KmW7ckCB/something-to-protect* Center for AI Safety Statement on AI Risk — https://safe.ai/work/statement-on-ai-riskOTHER RESOURCES MENTIONED* Stephen Pinker’s new book on mutual knowledge, When Everyone Knows That Everyone Knows... — https://stevenpinker.com/publications/when-everyone-knows-everyone-knows-common-knowledge-and-mysteries-money-power-and* Scott Alexander’s “Ethnic Tension and Meaningless Arguments” — https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/11/04/ethnic-tension-and-meaningless-arguments/PREVIOUS EPISODES REFERENCEDHolly’s previous Doom Debates appearance debating the California SB 1047 bill — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xUP3GywD0yMLiron’s interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky about the IABI launch — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQtpSQmMNP0---Doom Debates’ Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate.Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at DoomDebates.com and to youtube.com/@DoomDebates, or to really take things to the next level: Donate 🙏 Get full access to Doom Debates at lironshapira.substack.com/subscribe

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