Doom Debates!
Episodes
He Leads a Top AI Research Program, But He’d Hit the PAUSE Button Today! Kevin Zhu, Algoverse Founder
02 Jun 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Kevin Zhu walked away from a lucrative quant career to build Algoverse, one of the most productive mentorship programs for aspiring AI researchers. Ca...
Top Mathematicians Face Irrelevance, a 7-Year-Old's P(Doom) + The “Off Switch" Debate — Livestream May 29
30 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Liron explains the 80-year-old Erdős conjecture that a GPT model breakthrough, Scott Aaronson ponders "the last days of human relevance”, multiple ...
Anthropic's New Hire Should WORRY You, AI is a Math Genius, Live Callers! — Livestream (May 22)
23 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
***ATTENTION: We’re looking for paid help at LessOnline from June 5-7. Apply now!***OpenAI pushes the frontier of mathematics, Anthropic hires Andre...
I Called Out a16z Partner (Martin Casado) for Downplaying AI Capabilities in 2024
21 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Now that Doom Debates is almost 2 years old, enough time has passed that we can revisit my claims from 2024. I claim they’ve been aging well!In this...
Ben Goertzel Wants to Build AGI Even FASTER — AI Doom Debate
19 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Ben Goertzel is a pioneering AI researcher, entrepreneur, and author who has helped organize AGI as a research field since the 2000s through books...
NEWS: Trump & Xi Want AI Guardrails, ChatGPT vs Claude, and Liron Caught Rationalizing!? DD Live (5/15)
16 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
We recap the Dr. Mike Israetel debate and dig into the nuances of rationality vs. rationalization. Then onto the week's biggest news: Anthropic dethro...
Who Was Liron Shapira BEFORE Doom Debates? — Interview on Theo Jaffee's Podcast from December 2023
14 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In December 2023, I joined the Theo Jaffee Podcast to talk about a wide range of topics including non-AI x-risks, where I disagree with Eliezer Yudkwo...
Dr. Mike Israetel Returns to Debate: Will AI Kill Everyone, Or Make Everything Awesome?
12 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Mike Israetel is back in the arena to FIGHT ME (verbally) about the likelihood of AI killing everyone vs. the likelihood of AI making the universe...
Eliezer Yudkowsky Post-Debate Reaction, Elon's New Frenemy & Liron's Bet on Spencer Pratt!? - Doom Debates Live (5/8/26)
09 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Liron and Producer Ori explore the community's feedback to Eliezer Yudkowsky's $10,000 debate against an anonymous AI director. Plus, we unpack Elieze...
Debate with @lumpenspace (AI Accelerationist) — Is it GOOD for AI to replace us?
07 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Claude, also known as @lumpenspace on X, is a prominent AI accelerationist. He gives humanity a 30% chance of being superseded by superintelligence, a...
NEW: Watch the Eliezer Yudkowsky vs. Secret AI Lab Director Debate on my other channel!
05 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
📢 BREAKING: A man known only as "@47fucb4r8c69323" just paid Eliezer Yudkowsky $10,000 to have a raw, uncut, public debate on my YouTube channel!Te...
Who Paid $10,000 to Debate Yudkowsky? Plus AI Twitter & Investing Tips - Doom Debates Live (5/1/26)
02 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Livestream with Producer Ori covering Eliezer Yudkowsky's next BIG debate, why $GOOG is such a steal at $4T, and what's going down on AI twitter.Times...
Justin Helps (@Primer on YouTube) is Worried about AI Takeover
30 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Justin Helps is the science educator behind Primer Learning with 2M subscribers. We cover how he got into AI safety, debate AGI timelines, and why ...
Live Q&A: Bernie Sanders Wakes Up to AI Doom, Dwarkesh's $20,000 Questions, Caller Debates the Alignment Problem!
28 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Multiple live callers join this month's Q&A as I react to Dwarkesh Patel's $20K blog prize, debate the orthogonality thesis from first principles, and...
Emad Mostaque Has A 50% P(Doom) & A Plan To Lower It
21 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Emad Mostaque helped kick off the modern AI revolution as the head of Stability AI, the company behind Stable Diffusion. Unlike most AI CEOs, he doesn...
Did Eliezer Yudkowsky Really Call for VIOLENCE? — Debate with John Alioto
18 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
My guest, John Alioto, is an independent AI engineer with a computer science degree from UC Berkeley and 25 years building real-world AI systems at co...
Are AI Doomers “Calling for Violence” Against AI CEOs? Debate with Steven Balik
16 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Are AI safety advocates like Eliezer Yudkowsky at fault for the recent attacks on Sam Altman because they are “calling for violence”?I invited Ste...
Tristan Harris and Ted Tremper are WAKING UP Humanity to AI Extinction!
14 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist could become the most important movie of our generation. It’s a new film from the producers of the Osc...
URGENT — Someone Is Funding YOU To Help Lower P(Doom) Right Now!
11 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Did you know there’s something called the Survival and Flourishing Fund, and right now it’s giving away $20 to $40 million in grants. The applicat...
I Challenged DON’T LOOK UP’s Screenwriter to Look Up At AGI
07 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
David Sirota helped create “Don’t Look Up” sometimes feels like we’re living inside his movie. Does he share my belief that the looming planet...
I Went On Jubilee's Middle Ground To Warn About AI Extinction!
02 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
The popular debate show, Middle Ground by Jubilee, invited me on to take the "anti-AI" side back in April 2024.This highlight reel of the episode show...
Liron’s 700% Productivity Increase, Bernie & AOC’s Datacenter Ban, Are We In Full Takeoff? — Live Q&A
31 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Multiple live callers join this month's Q&A as we react to Bernie Sanders and AOC's data center moratorium, the sudden shutdown of SORA 2, and the rec...
AI Alignment Is Solved?! PhD Researcher Quintin Pope vs Liron Shapira (2023 Twitter Debate)
25 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Quintin Pope, PhD, is one of the few critics of AI doomerism who is truly fluent in the concepts and arguments. In Oct, 2023 he joined me for a de...
I'm Watching AI Take Everyone's Job | Liron on Robert Wright's NonZero Podcast
20 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
My new interview on Robert Wright's Nonzero Podcast where we dive into the agentic AI explosion. Bob is an exceptionally sharp interviewer who connect...
This Top Economist's P(Doom) Just Shot Up 10x! Noah Smith Returns To Explain His Update
17 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Noah Smith is an economist and author of Noahpinion, one of the most popular Substacks in the world.He returns to Doom Debates to share a massive upda...
Talking AI Doom with Dr. Claire Berlinski & Friends
12 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Claire Berlinski is a journalist, Oxford PhD, and author of The Cosmopolitan Globalist.She invited me to her weekly symposium to make the case for...
How Friendly AI Will Become Deadly — Dr. Steven Byrnes (AGI Safety Researcher, Harvard Physics Postdoc) Returns!
10 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Fan favorite Dr. Steven Byrnes returns to discuss recent AI progress and the concerning paradigm shift to "ruthless sociopath AI" he sees on the horiz...
Q&A — Claude Code's Impact, Anthropic vs The Pentagon, Roko('s Basilisk) Returns + Liron Updates His Views!
05 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Multiple live callers join this month's Q&A as we cover the imminent demise of programming as a profession, the Anthropic/Pentagon showdown, and debat...
AI Will Take Our Jobs But SPARE Our Lives —Top AI Professor Moshe Vardi (Rice University)
03 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Professor Moshe Vardi thinks AI will kill us with kindness by automating away our jobs. I think they'll just kill us for real.Who’s right? Tune into...
Destiny's Fans Challenged Me to an AI Doom Debate
26 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Fresh off my debate with Destiny, his Discord community invited me into their voice chat to talk about AI doom. Just like the man himself, his fans ar...
Doomsday Clock Physicist Warns AI Is Major Threat to Humanity!
24 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Renowned scientists just set The Doomsday Clock closer than ever to midnight.I agree our collective doom seems imminent, but why do the clocksetters p...
Why I Started Doom Debates & How to Succeed in AI Risk Communications
19 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Liron was invited to give a presentation to some of the most promising creators in AI safety communications.Get a behind-the-scenes look at Doom Debat...
Destiny Raises His P(Doom) At The End
17 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Destiny has racked up millions of views for his sharp takes on political and cultural news. Now, I finally get to ask him about a topic he’s been ag...
The Facade of AI Safety Will Crumble (Video)
17 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
On the eve of superintelligence, real AI safety is a nonexistent field. I break down why in my latest essay, The Facade of AI Safety Will Crumble.This...
Elon Musk's Insane Plan for Surviving AI Takeover
14 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Elon Musk just made a stunning admission about the insane future he’s steering us toward.In a new interview with Dwarkesh Patel and John Collison on...
The Only Politician Thinking Clearly About Superintelligence — California Governor Candidate Zoltan Istvan
13 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
California gubernatorial candidate Zoltan Istvan reveals his P(Doom) and makes the case for universal basic income and radical life extension.Timestam...
His P(Doom) Is Only 2.6% — AI Doom Debate with Bentham's Bulldog, a.k.a. Matthew Adelstein
10 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Get ready for a rematch with the one & only Bentham’s Bulldog, a.k.a. Matthew Adelstein! Our first debate covered a wide range of philosophical topi...
What Dario Amodei Misses In "The Adolescence of Technology" — Reaction With MIRI's Harlan Stewart
04 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Harlan Stewart works in communications for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI). In this episode, Harlan and I give our honest opinions ...
Q&A: Is Liron too DISMISSIVE of AI Harms? + New Studio, Demis Would #PauseAI, AI Water Use Debate
27 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Check out the new Doom Debates studio in this Q&A with special guest Producer Ori! Liron gets into a heated discussion about whether doomers must vali...
Taiwan's Cyber Ambassador-At-Large Says Humans & AI Can FOOM Together
20 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Audrey Tang was the youngest minister in Taiwanese history. Now she's working to align AI with democratic principles as Taiwan's Cyber Ambassador.In t...
Liron Enters Bannon's War Room to Explain Why AI Could End Humanity
13 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
I joined Steve Bannon’s War Room Battleground to talk about AI doom.Hosted by Joe Allen, we cover AGI timelines, raising kids with a high p(doom), a...
Noah Smith vs. Liron Shapira — Will AI spare our lives AND our jobs?
05 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
Economist Noah Smith is the author of Noahpinion, one of the most popular Substacks in the world.Far from worrying about human extinction from superin...
I Debated Beff Jezos and His "e/acc" Army
30 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In September of 2023, when OpenAI’s GPT-4 was still a fresh innovation and people were just beginning to wrap their heads around large language mode...
Q&A: Watch Me DEBATE Listeners — AGI by Next Year, Evolution vs Engineering, Yudkowsky, and more!
24 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
AGI timelines, offense/defense balance, evolution vs engineering, how to lower P(Doom), Eliezer Yudkowksy, and much more!Timestamps:00:00 Trailer03:10...
DOOMER vs. BUILDER — AI Doom Debate with Devin Elliot, Software Engineer & Retired Pro Snowboarder
17 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Devin Elliot is a former pro snowboarder turned software engineer who has logged thousands of hours building AI systems. His P(Doom) is a flat ⚫. He...
PhD AI Researcher Says P(Doom) is TINY — Debate with Michael Timothy Bennett
11 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Michael Timothy Bennett, Ph.D, is an award-winning young researcher who has developed a new formal framework for understanding intelligence. He ha...
Nobel Prizewinner SWAYED by My AI Doom Argument — Prof. Michael Levitt, Stanford University
05 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
My guest today achieved something EXTREMELY rare and impressive: Coming onto my show with an AI optimist position, then admitting he hadn’t thought ...
Facing AI Doom, Lessons from Daniel Ellsberg (Pentagon Papers) — Michael Ellsberg
29 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Michael Ellsberg, son of the legendary Pentagon Papers leaker Daniel Ellsberg, joins me to discuss the chilling parallels between his father’s nucle...
Max Tegmark vs. Dean Ball: Should We BAN Superintelligence?
21 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Today's Debate: Should we ban the development of artificial superintelligence until scientists agree it is safe and controllable?Arguing FOR banning s...
The AI Corrigibility Debate: MIRI Researchers Max Harms vs. Jeremy Gillen
14 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Max Harms and Jeremy Gillen are current and former MIRI researchers who both see superintelligent AI as an imminent extinction threat.But they disagre...
These Effective Altruists Betrayed Me — Holly Elmore, PauseAI US Executive Director
11 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Holly Elmore leads protests against frontier AI labs, and that work has strained some of her closest relationships in the AI-safety community.She says...
DEBATE: Is AGI Really Decades Away? | Ex-MIRI Researcher Tsvi Benson-Tilsen vs. Liron Shapira
07 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Sparks fly in the finale of my series with ex-MIRI researcher Tsvi Benson-Tilsen as we debate his AGI timelines.Tsvi is a champion of using germline e...
Liron Debunks The Most Common “AI Won't Kill Us" Arguments
05 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m sharing my AI doom interview on Donal O’Doherty’s podcast.I lay out the case for having a 50% p(doom). Then Donal plays devil’s advo...
Why AI Alignment Is 0% Solved — Ex-MIRI Researcher Tsvi Benson-Tilsen
31 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Tsvi Benson-Tilsen spent seven years tackling the alignment problem at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI). Now he delivers a sobering ...
Eben Pagan (aka David DeAngelo) Interviews Liron — Why 50% Chance AI Kills Everyone by 2050
29 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I’m excited to share my recent AI doom interview with Eben Pagan, better known to many by his pen name David DeAngelo!For an entire generation of me...
Former MIRI Researcher Solving AI Alignment by Engineering Smarter Human Babies
25 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Former Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) researcher Tsvi Benson-Tilsen is championing an audacious path to prevent AI doom: engineering s...
Robert Wright Interrogates the Eliezer Yudkowsky AI Doom Position
23 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Today I'm sharing my interview on Robert Wright's Nonzero Podcast where we unpack Eliezer Yudkowsky's AI doom arguments from his bestselling book, "If...
Climate Change Is Stupidly EASY To Stop — Andrew Song, Cofounder of Make Sunsets
17 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m taking a rare break from AI doom to cover the dumbest kind of doom humanity has ever created for itself: climate change. We’re talking a...
David Deutschian vs. Eliezer Yudkowskian Debate: Will AGI Cooperate With Humanity? — With Brett Hall
10 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I’ve been puzzled by David Deutsch’s AI claims for years. Today I finally had the chance to hash it out: Brett Hall, one of the foremost educators...
Debating People On The Street About AI Doom
04 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
We took Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares’s new book, If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies, on the streets to see what regular people think.Do people ...
Wes & Dylan Join Doom Debates — Violent Robots, Eliezer Yudkowsky, & Who Has the HIGHEST P(Doom)?!
02 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Welcome to the Doom Debates + Wes Roth + Dylan Curious crossover episode!Wes & Dylan’s host a popular YouTube AI news show that’s better than main...
The Merch Store Is Open For Business!
01 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I’m excited to announce the launch of Doom Hut, the official Doom Debates merch store!This isn’t just another merch drop. It’s a way to spread a...
Are We A Circular Firing Squad? — with Holly Elmore, Executive Director of PauseAI US
27 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Eliezer Yudkowsky can warn humankind that If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies and get on the New York Times bestseller list, but he won’t get upvoted...
Ex-OpenAI CEO Says AI Labs Are Making a HUGE Mistake — Emmett Shear
26 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Ex-Twitch Founder and OpenAI Interim CEO Emmett Shear is one of the rare established tech leaders to lend his name and credibility to Eliezer Yudkowsk...
Donate to Doom Debates — YOU can meaningfully contribute to lowering AI x-risk!
25 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
ATTENTION DOOM DEBATES LISTENERS:We interrupt our usual programming to request that you consider supporting the show.Do you want your family, children...
Liv Boeree Has a Strategy to Stop the AI Death Race
24 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Science communicator and poker champion Liv Boeree has been concerned about the existential risk of AI for nearly a decade.In this conversation from m...
“If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” Party — Max Tegmark, Liv Boeree, Emmett Shear, Gary Marcus, Rob Miles & more!
19 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares just launched their world-changing book, If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. PLEASE BUY YOUR COPY NOW!!!We had an un...
Max Tegmark Says It's Time To Protest Against AI Companies
18 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Max Tegmark is an MIT physics professor, science communicator, best-selling author, and the President and co-founder of the Future of Life Institute. ...
Eliezer Yudkowsky — If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
15 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
It is Monday, September 15th and my interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky has dropped!!!👉 WATCH NOW 👈We had a very unique 2.5-hour discussion coverin...
ANNOUNCEMENT: Eliezer Yudkowsky interview premieres tomorrow!
15 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The Eliezer Yudkowsky interview premiere is tomorrow (Mon Sep 15) at 9am PT!!!👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQtpSQmMNP0 👈I can't believe it...
How AI Kills Everyone on the Planet in 10 Years — Liron on The Jona Ragogna Podcast
13 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this special cross-post from Jona Ragogna’s channel, I'm interviewed about why superintelligent AI poses an imminent extinction threat, and how A...
Get ready for LAUNCH WEEK!!! “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares
10 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Ladies and gentlemen, we are days away from the long-awaited release of Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares's new book, “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone...
Tech CTO Has 99.999% P(Doom) — “This is my bugout house” — Louis Berman, AI X-Risk Activist
28 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Louis Berman is a polymath who brings unique credibility to AI doom discussions. He's been coding AI for 25 years, served as CTO of major tech compani...
Rob Miles, Top AI Safety Educator: Humanity Isn’t Ready for Superintelligence!
23 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Rob Miles is the most popular AI safety educator on YouTube, with millions of views across his videos explaining AI alignment to general audiences. He...
Debate with Vitalik Buterin — Will “d/acc” Protect Humanity from Superintelligent AI?
12 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Vitalik Buterin is the founder of Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, currently valued at around $500 billion. But beyo...
Why I'm Scared GPT-9 Will Murder Me — Liron on Robert Wright’s Nonzero Podcast
08 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m sharing my interview on Robert Wright’s Nonzero Podcast from last May. Rob is an especially sharp interviewer who doesn't just nod along...
The Man Who Might SOLVE AI Alignment — Dr. Steven Byrnes, AGI Safety Researcher @ Astera Institute
01 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Steven Byrnes, UC Berkeley physics PhD and Harvard physics postdoc, is an AI safety researcher at the Astera Institute and one of the most rigorou...
Top Professor Condemns AGI Development: “It’s Frankly Evil” — Geoffrey Miller
24 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Geoffrey Miller is an evolutionary psychologist at the University of New Mexico, bestselling author, and one of the world's leading experts on signali...
Zuck’s Superintelligence Agenda is a SCANDAL | Warning Shots EP1
22 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I’m doing a new weekly show on the AI Risk Network called Warning Shots. Check it out!I’m only cross-posting the first episode here on Doom Debate...
Rationalist Podcasts Unite! — The Bayesian Conspiracy ⨉ Doom Debates Crossover
18 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Eneasz Brodski and Steven Zuber host the Bayesian Conspiracy podcast, which has been running for nine years and covers rationalist topics from AI safe...
His P(Doom) Doubles At The End — AI Safety Debate with Liam Robins, GWU Sophomore
15 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Liam Robins is a math major at George Washington University who's diving deep into AI policy and rationalist thinking.In Part 1, we explored how AI is...
AI Won't Save Your Job — Liron Reacts to Replit CEO Amjad Masad
10 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Amjad Masad is the founder and CEO of Replit, a full-featured AI-powered software development platform whose revenue reportedly just shot up from $10M...
Every Student is CHEATING with AI — College in the AGI Era (feat. Sophomore Liam Robins)
07 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Liam Robins is a math major at George Washington University who recently had his own "AGI awakening" after reading Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational...
Carl Feynman, AI Engineer & Son of Richard Feynman, Says Building AGI Likely Means Human EXTINCTION!
04 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Carl Feynman got his Master’s in Computer Science and B.S. in Philosophy from MIT, followed by a four-decade career in AI engineering.He’s known E...
Richard Hanania vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate
28 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Richard Hanania is the President of the Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology. His work has been praised by Vice President JD Vance, T...
Emmett Shear (OpenAI Ex-Interim-CEO)'s New “Softmax” AI Alignment Plan — Is It Legit?
24 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Emmett Shear is the cofounder and ex-CEO of Twitch, ex-interim-CEO of OpenAI, and a former Y Combinator partner. He recently announced Softmax, a new ...
Will AI Have a Moral Compass? — Debate with Scott Sumner, Author of The Money Illusion
18 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Prof. Scott Sumner is a well-known macroeconomist who spent more than 30 years teaching at Bentley University, and now holds an Emeritus Chair in mone...
Searle's Chinese Room is DUMB — It's Just Slow-Motion Intelligence
14 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
John Searle's "Chinese Room argument" has been called one of the most famous thought experiments of the 20th century. It's still frequently cited toda...
Doom Debates Live @ Manifest 2025 — Liron vs. Everyone
09 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Let’s see where the attendees of Manifest 2025 get off the Doom Train, and whether I can convince them to stay on and ride with me to the end of the...
Poking holes in the AI doom argument — 83 stops where you could get off the “Doom Train”
07 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I often talk about the “Doom Train”, the series of claims and arguments involved in concluding that P(Doom) from artificial superintelligence is h...
Q&A: Ilya's AGI Doomsday Bunker, Veo 3 is Westworld, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and much more!
29 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Ilya’s doom bunker, proof of humanity, the doomsday argument, CAIS firing John Sherman, Bayesian networks, Westworld, AI consciousness, Eliezer’s ...
This $85M-Backed Founder Claims Open Source AGI is Safe — Debate with Himanshu Tyagi
22 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Himanshu Tyagi is a professor of engineering at the Indian Institute of Science and the co-founder of Sentient, an open-source AI platform that ra...
Emergency Episode: Center for AI Safety Chickens Out
21 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
My friend John from the AI X-Risk Network podcast got hired by the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) two weeks ago.Today I suddenly learned he’s been fire...
Gary Marcus vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate
15 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Prof. Gary Marcus is a scientist, bestselling author and entrepreneur, well known as one of the most influential voices in AI. He is Professor Emeritu...
Mike Israetel vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate
08 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Mike Israetel, renowned exercise scientist and social media personality, and more recently a low-P(doom) AI futurist, graciously offered to deb...
Doom Scenario: Human-Level AI Can't Control Smarter AI
05 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
I want to be transparent about how I’ve updated my mainline AI doom scenario in light of safe & useful LLMs. So here’s where I’m at…00:00 Intr...
The Most Likely AI Doom Scenario — with Jim Babcock, LessWrong Team
30 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
What’s the most likely (“mainline”) AI doom scenario? How does the existence of LLMs update the original Yudkowskian version? I invited my frien...
AI Could Give Humans MORE Control — Ozzie Gooen
24 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Ozzie Gooen is the founder of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI), a nonprofit building software tools for forecasting and policy ana...
Top AI Professor Has 85% P(Doom) — David Duvenaud, Fmr. Anthropic Safety Team Lead
18 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
David Duvenaud is a professor of Computer Science at the University of Toronto, co-director of the Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Socie...
“AI 2027” — Top Superforecaster's Imminent Doom Scenario
15 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
AI 2027, a bombshell new paper by the AI Futures Project, is a highly plausible scenario of the next few years of AI progress. I like this paper so mu...