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Doom Debates

How AI Kills Everyone on the Planet in 10 Years — Liron on The Jona Ragogna Podcast

13 Sep 2025

Description

In this special cross-post from Jona Ragogna’s channel, I'm interviewed about why superintelligent AI poses an imminent extinction threat, and how AI takeover is going to unfold.Newly exposed to AI x-risk, Jona asks sharp questions about why we’re racing toward superintelligence despite the danger, and what ordinary people can do now to lower p(doom). This is one of the most crisp explainers of the AI-doom argument I’ve done to date.Timestamps0:00 Intro0:41 Why AI is likely to cause human extinction2:55 How AI takeover happens4:55 AI systems have goals6:33 Liron explains p(Doom)8:50 The worst case scenario is AI sweeps us away12:46 The best case scenario is hard to define14:24 How to avoid doom15:09 Frontier AI companies are just doing "ad hoc" alignment20:30 Why "warning shots" from AI aren't scary yet23:19 Should young adults work on AI alignment research?24:46 We need a grassroots movement28:31 Life choices when AI doom is imminent32:35 Are AI forecasters just biased?34:12 The Doom Train™ and addressing counterarguments40:28 Anthropic's new AI welfare announcement isn't a major breakthrough44:35 It's unknown what's going on inside LLMs and AI systems53:22 Effective Altruism's ties to AI risk56:58 Will AI be a "worthy descendant"?1:01:08 How to calculate P(Doom)1:02:49 Join the unofficial If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies book launch party!Show NotesSubscribe to Jona Ragogna — https://youtube.com/@jonaragognaIF ANYONE BUILDS IT LAUNCH WEEK EVENTS:Mon Sep 15 @ 9am PT / 12pm ET / 1600 UTCMy Eliezer Yudkowsky premieres on YouTube! Stay tuned for details.Tue Sep 16 @ 2pm PT / 5pm ET / 2100 UTCThe Doom Debates unofficial IABI Launch Party!!!More details about launch week HERE!---Doom Debates’s Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate.Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at DoomDebates.com and to youtube.com/@DoomDebates Get full access to Doom Debates at lironshapira.substack.com/subscribe

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