Doom Debates!
Episodes
OpenAI o3 and Claude Alignment Faking — How doomed are we?
30 Dec 2024
Contributed by Lukas
OpenAI just announced o3 and smashed a bunch of benchmarks (ARC-AGI, SWE-bench, FrontierMath)!A new Anthropic and Redwood Research paper says Claude i...
AI Will Kill Us All — Liron Shapira on The Flares
27 Dec 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week Liron was interview by Gaëtan Selle on @the-flares about AI doom.Cross-posted from their channel with permission.Original source: https://w...
Roon vs. Liron: AI Doom Debate
18 Dec 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Roon is a member of the technical staff at OpenAI. He’s a highly respected voice on tech Twitter, despite being a pseudonymous cartoon avatar accoun...
Scott Aaronson Makes Me Think OpenAI's “Safety” Is Fake, Clueless, Reckless and Insane
11 Dec 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to the recent Scott Aaronson interview on the Win-Win podcast with Liv Boeree and Igor Kurganov.Prof. Aaronson is the Director of...
Liron Reacts to Subbarao Kambhampati on Machine Learning Street Talk
28 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to a July 2024 interview that Prof. Subbarao Kambhampati did on Machine Learning Street Talk.Rao is a Professor of Computer Scien...
This Yudkowskian Has A 99.999% P(Doom)
27 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
In this episode of Doom Debates, I discuss AI existential risks with my pseudonymous guest Nethys.Nethy shares his journey into AI risk awareness, inf...
Cosmology, AI Doom, and the Future of Humanity with Fraser Cain
21 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Fraser Cain is the publisher of Universe Today, co-host of Astronomy Cast, a popular YouTuber about all things space, and guess what… he has a high ...
AI Doom Debate: Vaden Masrani & Ben Chugg vs. Liron Shapira
19 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Vaden Masrani and Ben Chugg, hosts of the Increments Podcast, are back for a Part II! This time we’re going straight to debating my favorite topic, ...
Andrew Critch vs. Liron Shapira: Will AI Extinction Be Fast Or Slow?
16 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Andrew Critch is the co-founder of the Center for Applied Rationality, a former Research Fellow at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MI...
AI Twitter Beefs #2: Yann LeCun, David Deutsch, Tyler Cowen, Jack Clark, Beff Jezos, Samuel Hammond vs. Eliezer Yudkowsky, Geoffrey Hinton, Carl Feynman
13 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
It’s time for AI Twitter Beefs #2:00:42 Jack Clark (Anthropic) vs. Holly Elmore (PauseAI US)11:02 Beff Jezos vs. Eliezer Yudkowsky, Carl Feynman18:1...
Is P(Doom) Meaningful? Epistemology Debate with Vaden Masrani and Ben Chugg
08 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Vaden Masrani and Ben Chugg, hosts of the Increments Podcast, are joining me to debate Bayesian vs. Popperian epistemology.I’m on the Bayesian side,...
15-Minute Intro to AI Doom
04 Nov 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Our top researchers and industry leaders have been warning us that superintelligent AI may cause human extinction in the next decade.If you haven't be...
Lee Cronin vs. Liron Shapira: AI Doom Debate
30 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Prof. Lee Cronin is the Regius Chair of Chemistry at the University of Glasgow. His research aims to understand how life might arise from non-living m...
Ben Horowitz says nuclear proliferation is GOOD? I disagree.
25 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Ben Horowitz, cofounder and General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), says nuclear proliferation is good.I was shocked because I thought we all a...
“AI Snake Oil” Prof. Arvind Narayanan Can't See AGI Coming | Liron Reacts
13 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to Arvind Narayanan’s interview with Robert Wright on the Nonzero podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MoB_pikM3NYDr. Naray...
Dr. Keith Duggar has a high P(doom)?! Debate with MLST Co-host
08 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Keith Duggar from Machine Learning Street Talk was the subject of my recent reaction episode about whether GPT o1 can reason. But instead of ignor...
Getting Arrested for Barricading OpenAI's Office to Stop AI
04 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Sam Kirchner and Remmelt Ellen, leaders of the Stop AI movement, think the only way to effectively protest superintelligent AI development is with civ...
Q&A #1 Part 2: Stock Picking, Creativity, Types of Doomers, Favorite Books
02 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This episode is a continuation of Q&A #1 Part 1 where I answer YOUR questions!00:00 Introduction01:20 Planning for a good outcome?03:10 Stock Picking ...
Q&A #1 Part 1: College, Asperger's, Elon Musk, Double Crux, Liron's IQ
01 Oct 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Thanks for being one of the first Doom Debates subscribers and sending in your questions! This episode is Part 1; stay tuned for Part 2 coming soon.00...
Doom Tiffs #1: Amjad Masad, Eliezer Yudkowsky, Helen Toner, Roon, Lee Cronin, Naval Ravikant, Martin Casado, Yoshua Bengio
25 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
In today’s episode, instead of reacting to a long-form presentation of someone’s position, I’m reporting on the various AI x-risk-related tiffs ...
Can GPT o1 Reason? | Liron Reacts to Tim Scarfe & Keith Duggar
18 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
How smart is OpenAI’s new model, o1? What does “reasoning” ACTUALLY mean? What do computability theory and complexity theory tell us about the l...
Yuval Noah Harari's AI Warnings Don't Go Far Enough | Liron Reacts
11 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Yuval Noah Harari is a historian, philosopher, and bestselling author known for his thought-provoking works on human history, the future, and our evol...
I talked to Dr. Phil about AI extinction risk!
10 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
It's finally here, the Doom Debates / Dr. Phil crossover episode you've all been asking for 😂 The full episode is called “AI: The Future of Educa...
Debate with Roman Yampolskiy: 50% vs. 99.999% P(Doom) from AI
06 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Roman Yampolskiy is the director of the Cyber Security Lab at the University of Louisville. His new book is called AI: Unexplainable, Unpredictabl...
Jobst Landgrebe Doesn't Believe In AGI | Liron Reacts
04 Sep 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Jobst Landgrebe, co-author of Why Machines Will Never Rule The World: Artificial Intelligence Without Fear, argues that AI is fundamentally limited in...
Arvind Narayanan's Makes AI Sound Normal | Liron Reacts
29 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to the 20VC podcast with Harry Stebbings and Princeton professor Arvind Narayanan.Prof. Narayanan is known for his critical persp...
Bret Weinstein Bungles It On AI Extinction | Liron Reacts
27 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to the Bret Weinstein’s recent appearance on the Diary of a CEO podcast with Steven Bartlett. Bret is an evolutionary biologist...
SB 1047 AI Regulation Debate: Holly Elmore vs. Greg Tanaka
26 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
California's SB 1047 bill, authored by CA State Senator Scott Wiener, is the leading attempt by a US state to regulate catastrophic risks from frontie...
David Shapiro Part II: Unaligned Superintelligence Is Totally Fine?
22 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to David Shapiro’s response to my previous episode, and also to David’s latest episode with poker champion & effective altrui...
Maciej Ceglowski, Pinboard Founder, Says the Idea of Superintelligence “Eats Smart People” | Liron Reacts
19 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Maciej Ceglowski is an entrepreneur and owner of the bookmarking site Pinboard. I’ve been a long-time fan of his sharp, independent-minded blog post...
David Shapiro Doesn't Get PauseAI | Liron Reacts
16 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m reacting to David Shapiro’s latest YouTube video: “Pausing AI is a spectacularly bad idea―Here's why”.In my opinion, every plan th...
David Brooks's Non-Doomer Non-Argument in the NY Times | Liron Reacts
15 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
John Sherman and I go through David Brooks’s appallingly bad article in the New York Times titled “Many People Fear AI. They Shouldn’t.”For Hu...
Richard Sutton Dismisses AI Extinction Fears with Simplistic Arguments | Liron Reacts
13 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Richard Sutton is a Professor of Computing Science at the University of Alberta known for his pioneering work on reinforcement learning, and his “...
AI Doom Debate: “Cards Against Humanity” Co-Creator David Pinsof
08 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
David Pinsof is co-creator of the wildly popular Cards Against Humanity and a social science researcher at UCLA Social Minds Lab. He writes a blog cal...
P(Doom) Estimates Shouldn't Inform Policy??
05 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Princeton Comp Sci Ph.D. candidate Sayash Kapoor co-authored a blog post last week with his professor Arvind Narayanan called "AI Existential Risk Pro...
Liron Reacts to Martin Casado's AI Claims
31 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Martin Casado is a General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) who has strong views about AI.He claims that AI is basically just a buzzword for stat...
AI Doom Debate: Tilek Mamutov vs. Liron Shapira
26 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Tilek Mamutov is a Kyrgyzstani software engineer who worked at Google X for 11 years before founding his own international software engineer recruitin...
Liron Reacts to Mike Israetel's "Solving the AI Alignment Problem"
18 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Dr. Mike Israetel is a well-known bodybuilder and fitness influencer with over 600,000 Instagram followers, and a surprisingly intelligent commentator...
Robin Hanson Highlights and Post-Debate Analysis
12 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
What did we learn from my debate with Robin Hanson? Did we successfully isolate the cruxes of disagreement? I actually think we did!In this post-debat...
Robin Hanson vs. Liron Shapira: Is Near-Term Extinction From AGI Plausible?
08 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Robin Hanson is a legend in the rationality community and one of my biggest intellectual influences.In 2008, he famously debated Eliezer Yudkowsky abo...
Preparing for my AI Doom Debate with Robin Hanson
05 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This episode is a comprehensive preparation session for my upcoming debate on AI doom with the legendary Robin Hanson.Robin’s P(doom) is I’ve rese...
Robin Hanson debate prep: Liron argues *against* AI doom!
30 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
I’ve been studying Robin Hanson’s catalog of writings and interviews in preparation for our upcoming AI doom debate. Now I’m doing an exercise w...
AI Doom Q&A
26 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I'm answering questions from listener Tony Warren.1:16 Biological imperatives in machine learning2:22 Evolutionary pressure vs. AI training4:15 ...
AI Doom Debate: Will AGI’s analysis paralysis save humanity?
22 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
My guest Rob thinks superintelligent AI will suffer from analysis paralysis from trying to achieve a 100% probability of killing humanity. Since AI wo...
Steven Pinker's Flimsy Arguments for AI Optimism
21 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m debating the one & only Professor Steven Pinker!!! Well, I kind of am, in my head. Let me know if you like this format…Dr. Pinker is opt...
AI Doom Debate: What's a plausible alignment scenario?
20 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
RJ, a pseudonymous listener, volunteered to debate me.Follow RJ: https://x.com/impershblknightIf you want to get the full Doom Debates experience, it'...
Q&A: How scary is a superintelligent football coach?
18 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Danny asks: You've said that an intelligent AI would lead to doom because it would be an excellent goal-to-action mapper. A great football coach lik...
AI Doom Debate: George Hotz vs. Liron Shapira
17 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Today I’m going to play you my debate with the brilliant hacker and entrepreneur, George Hotz.This took place on an X Space last August.Prior to our...
Should we gamble on AGI before all 8 billion of us die?
16 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Chase Mann claims accelerating AGI timelines is the best thing we can do for the survival of the 8 billion people alive today.I claim pausing AI is st...
Can humans judge AI's arguments?
14 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
It’s a monologue episode!Robin Hanson’s blog: https://OvercomingBias.comRobin Hanson’s famous concept, the Great Filter: https://en.wikipedia.or...
What this "Doom Debates" podcast is about
12 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Welcome and thanks for listening!* Why is Liron finally starting a podcast?* Who does Liron want to debate?* What’s the debate format?* What are Lir...
AI Doom Debate: Liron Shapira vs. Kelvin Santos
10 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Kelvin is optimistic that the forces of economic competition will keep AIs sufficiently aligned with humanity by the time they become superintelligent...