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EA Forum Podcast (All audio)

“Foresight Institute launches two possible future scenarios with AI” by elte

20 Aug 2025

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With contributions from Vitalik Buterin, Anthony Aguirre, Allison Duettmann, Deger Turan, Emilia Javorsky, and more What kinds of futures are possible if we steer AI in different directions, and what would it actually take to get there? Today, Foresight Institute's Existential Hope program is launching AI Pathways, the result of months of work across two in-depth scenario reports designed to open up the meme space of what different AI futures could look like. Rather than prescribing a single preferred outcome, the reports explore two different plausible futures, shaped by the choices we make and the systems we choose to build. The scenarios We developed two in-depth trajectories, each mapped out with timelines, enablers, tensions, and trade-offs. They were chosen to explore two futures that are often mentioned hypothetically, but rarely visualized in practical detail: The Tool AI Pathway A future shaped by powerful but controllable AI systems with limited [...] ---Outline:(00:48) The scenarios(02:08) Why we're doing this(02:55) Metaculus integration(03:20) How they were created(05:15) How you can engage:--- First published: August 19th, 2025 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GaFayvcDRCkvFkWri/foresight-institute-launches-two-possible-future-scenarios --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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