Economy Watch

US economy stumbles on weak retail and factory data

17 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Israel Iran conflict seems contained for now

16 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Financial markets add war & protest to their calculus

15 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The greenback weakens on policy chaos

12 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

US-China trade deal resolves little

11 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

"The harm to living standards could be deep"

10 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Tit-for-tat gives way to negotiation

09 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Economic outlook dims as Trump goes 'purposefully inflammatory'

08 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

US equity markets recoil at more instability

05 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The cost of hubris

04 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Global expansion leaks on weakening US

03 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

More stagnation everywhere, more inflation in the US

02 Jun 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Checking unbridled power

29 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Inflation risks move back to center-stage

28 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Data and sentiment diverge

27 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Wall Street holiday allows reassessments

26 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

The turbulent ride continues

25 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Risk premiums keep on rising

22 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Bond market discontent grows louder

21 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Superpower budgets drive irresponsible risks

20 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

The messy business of dealing with US mistakes

19 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Recent history less relevant for analysts. It's now all about what is to come

18 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Lots of US data releases, few supporting the Trump agenda

15 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Positives hard to find

14 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

As the tempest fades, the net situation is worse

13 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Wall Street soars on US-China tariff reprieve

12 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Progress in Geneva? or just face-saving rhetoric?

11 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Smoke & mirrors

08 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The US Fed warns of rising economic risks

07 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Buckle in for a day of big announcements

06 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Focus turns to the US Fed

05 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Gold drops sharply from its recent highs

02 May 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The US becomes a drag on the world economy

30 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Dumb policy brings dud results

29 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

'Unusual' is putting it mildly

28 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

China pushes itself ahead

27 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

A Trump tariff backdown coming?

23 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Bessent cheerleading not based on anything

22 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

The Trump disaster keeps getting worse

21 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Powell warns of 'challenging scenario'

16 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

The tariff war skirmishes get messy

15 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Volatility without guardrails

14 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Even for Trump, this is a weird flip-flop

13 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Wall Street cancels tariff optimism, resumes selloff

10 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Now it's the bond market's turn for pain

09 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

"America is lost"

08 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Stagflation chances jump to almost a certainty

07 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Sophomoric stupidity threatens global tailspin

06 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Markets recoil on tariff stupidity

03 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Sweeping tariffs impending, along with retaliation

02 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Bracing for Trump tariffs

01 Apr 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Tariffs bring destabilising pressures

31 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

As the US enters stagflation, the USD is being sidelined

30 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Tariff impacts start to show up

27 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

US policy mistakes pushes everyone onto the defensive

26 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

The US keeps on scoring own goals

25 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Tariffs sap the US expansion

24 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Tables turn with China rising as the US fades

23 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Not so happy

20 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Central banks stand back on looming trade chaos

19 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Bigger bumps in the road

18 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Eyes on China & American economic policymakers

17 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

US & China weaknesses self-inflicted

16 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Equities drop on strong risk-aversion market moves

13 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Inflation holds but tariff costs yet to hit

12 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

The Americans & Russians disrupt trade

11 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Wall Street votes, and it isn't for Trump

10 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

The policy landscape is in ferment

09 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The US goes into reverse

06 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Making a messy situation messier

04 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

Chaos has consequences

03 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Gears crunched in downshift global direction

02 Mar 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

US tariffs bring higher prices, slower growth

27 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

More debt to solve China's challenges

26 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Risk appetite in sharp reversal

25 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

US fades both at home and abroad

24 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Risk aversion jumps on Trump missteps

23 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Hints of a stagflation future noticed by financial markets

20 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

American instability takes another turn

19 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

foreign investors, both friends an foes, are quitting their exposure to the new Russified US.But first up, the Redbook tracking of American retail sal...

David Mahon: China, a country 'full of DeepSeeks,' now sees NZ as 'a country of diplomatic infidelity'

19 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon visiting India before China could be seen as an insult in China, Beijing-based New Zealander David Mahon says. But h...

Back on inflation alert

18 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

What will the RBA do?

17 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

China borrows like there's no tomorrow

16 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Waiting for US tariffs

13 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The US gets its expected inflation twist

12 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Powell in no hurry to cut rates, defying Trump

11 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

It is clearer that tariffs will drive a new global inflation surge

10 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

US chaos, global data softness, not helping

09 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Economic shine dulls

06 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Retaliatory counterpunches come in many forms

04 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

No-one likes Trump's awful tariff deal, even in the US, so backtracking starts

03 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

Sharp policy changes without thinking things through

02 Feb 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Consumer resilience powers the 2024 US growth

30 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Fed set to end rate cutting cycle

29 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

Markets start to reassess risk in the face of policy without ethics

28 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...

China loses steam ahead of holidays; Wall Street loses steam today

27 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and thi...

China holiday & US Fed decision dominate global economy this week

26 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

Forced distortions a new economic threat

23 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this...

The bond market doesn't like what it sees

22 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and th...

The US gifts China global opportunities

21 Jan 2025

Contributed by Lukas

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and t...