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Enverus Intelligence

Supply, Demand & Pricing | Reigniting Demand - The Catalyst for Price Recovery

07 Oct 2025

Description

Host Gibson Scott, Head of Intelligence at Enverus, is once again joined by Director of Macro Research Al Salazar and Sr. Analyst Josie Mills to dive deep into the team's latest Fundamental Edge report, exploring the evolving dynamics reshaping global oil and gas markets. What You'll Learn: Oil Market Outlook: Discover why EIR maintains a bearish near-term stance on Brent crude, forecasting below current forward curves. We'll examine the current oversupply conditions and projected inventory builds that are driving these price expectations. Demand Green Shoots: Explore surprising trends in global oil consumption, including how slower-than-expected EV adoption is providing unexpected support to gasoline demand. Learn why EU gasoline demand has increased above pre-COVID levels and what this means for long-term energy transition models. Natural Gas Winter Outlook: Understand why EIR forecasts NYMEX Henry Hub for winter 2025-26 below current forward strips. We'll discuss elevated storage levels and NOAA's warmer-than-normal winter forecast. Regional Basis Dynamics: Learn about expected volatility in Waha basis pricing due to pipeline maintenance and how upcoming expansions could provide relief by mid-2026. Plus, discover why AECO prices may see near-term upside as LNG Canada creates displacement effects. This episode provides essential insights for energy traders, analysts, and industry professionals navigating today's complex commodity markets. Tune in to understand the key catalysts that could drive price recovery in the coming years.

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