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FT News Briefing

Investors celebrate US-Iran deal

16 Jun 2026

Transcription

Transcript generated automatically by AI and may contain errors.

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

2.697 - 19.058 Mark Filippino

Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Tuesday, June 16th, and this is your FT News Briefing. Investors celebrated the news of a U.S.-Iran deal, and hedge funds are downbeat on European carmakers. Plus, we'll take a look at how Russia is recruiting unwitting foot soldiers in Europe.

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19.779 - 30.713 Helen Worrell

This is a sign of a gig economy, of people being recruited online, often paid via crypto, to do actions in the real world.

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30.811 - 50.013 Mark Filippino

I'm Mark Filippino, and here's the news you need to start your day. Global equities rallied and oil prices fell yesterday. That's after an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was announced over the weekend.

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Chapter 2: What impact does the US-Iran deal have on global equities?

50.514 - 70.622 Mark Filippino

Investors are betting the U.S.-Iran deal will reverse a surge in energy prices due to the conflict. But with inflation riding high, how long could it take for lower energy prices to actually make a difference? Here with me now is the FT's U.S. Markets Editor, Kate Duguid. Hi, Kate. Hi. So why are investors feeling so optimistic about this deal?

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71.142 - 89.906 Kate Duguid

So I think that the reason why investors are optimistic about this deal is because we've heard from Iran as well as from the United States. Previously, we had kind of only been hearing from President Trump and the White House, and we had not been hearing from Tehran. So I think that that's the real reason that investors are taking this seriously.

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89.946 - 101.924 Kate Duguid

The reason that they think that energy prices are probably going to fall as the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. And Iran goes about rebuilding some of the infrastructure that was destroyed.

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102.866 - 118.497 Mark Filippino

What does this mean for inflation overall? I mean, Kate, you know, how long could this change take to feed through the economy, especially given that the head of the world's biggest tanker operator said that ship owners probably won't go back through the strait for weeks?

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119.489 - 136.873 Kate Duguid

So I think that what you're hinting at, which is that we might have inflation for longer than just, you know, that these inflationary effects might persist, is absolutely right. I think that we will continue to see higher energy prices for a little while, given that

136.853 - 157.492 Kate Duguid

As you mentioned, the street itself is not completely open yet, but also because like a lot of critical infrastructure has been damaged and will take time to rebuild. You know, there are a number of different commodity markets that this is going to affect. One thing that we saw is U.S. wholesale inflation rose dramatically in April.

157.512 - 175.489 Kate Duguid

And so that tends to be a predictor of inflation to come in consumer prices. It hasn't quite shown up in the CPI data yet, which has risen, but it's only been because of energy. Core prices have not really risen very much. And the wholesale inflation data kind of suggests that it might still be to come.

176.35 - 192.426 Mark Filippino

Kate, given the inflationary environment that we're in, I want to ask you about central banks because the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are meeting this week. The European Central Bank met last week and raised rates. Could we see other central banks raise rates given what's going on with inflation?

192.997 - 210.445 Kate Duguid

I don't think that we should expect a rate hike from either the BOE or the Federal Reserve. Core inflation has not risen fast enough to justify an immediate hike. But what I will say is that I do think that the Fed statement will likely remove what's called the easing bias.

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