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Chapter 1: Why are gas prices expected to rise this summer?
Olen Shannon Maldonado, käsin tehtyjä artesaanituotteita myyvän Jauhi-lahjakaupan perustaja. Valitsin Shopify, koska alustoja testatessani totesin sen ehdottomasti yhdeksi helppokäyttöisimmistä alustoista. Minulla oli tärkeää pohtia kehittymistämme tulevaisuudessa. Kaikki myyntiin tarvittavat työkalut, kuten varaston suunnittelu, ovat kätevästi dashboardissa. Aloita ilmainen kokeilu shopify.com-sivustolla.
I don't want to alarm anybody, but have you seen prices lately? From American Public Media, this is Marketplace. In Los Angeles, I'm Kyle Rizal. It is Thursday today. This one is the 11th of June. Good as it always is to have you along, everybody.
So, here's what's happened in the oil markets the past couple of days. There was talk of a peace agreement in the war and oil prices went down. Then there was shooting and oil prices went down. Then there was a president saying he was going to bomb Iran hard and oil prices went down. And then the president said the bombing is off and
Here we are. Oil prices are down. Part of why is that the United States has been drawing down its commercial and strategic oil reserves. Crude inventories fell another 7.2 million barrels this week. That brings the drawdown, Reuters says, to almost 80 million barrels since the war started. There are, yes, still hundreds of millions of barrels left, but inventories can only get so low before the supply chain starts to break down.
Traders might not care about the geopolitics, but they are sure going to care about the logistics. Marketplace of Kaylee Wells gets us going. Out of all those barrels in our oil inventories, a lot of them just aren't accessible. You think about a large storage tank, there's always going to be some oil at the bottom that can't be pumped out.
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Chapter 2: How is the war in Iran affecting oil reserves?
Aaron Brady with S&P Global Energy says there's also the oil that keeps pipes lubricated and storage caverns safely intact. So he estimates that roughly 290 million of the 426 million barrels of oil now in the U.S. inventory won't actually get used or sold. And at the current drawdown rate? Sometime in July is my best guess is when we get into that danger zone where we get close to those minimum operating levels.
Even if the war ended today, it takes a couple months to get the global supply chain back up and running normally. The hardest part, I think, is that it does not feel like we're close to a situation where things start to move back toward normal.
Dan Pickering is founder and chief investment officer of Pickering Energy Partners. And he says as countries deplete their reserves, oil prices have been deceptively not bad. Folks are like, what do I need to worry about? The issue is every single day that market's tightening. And when you get to the point where it's obvious that there's an issue, it's very hard to fix.
Nyt Yhdysvallat on erilaisessa positiivisessa kuin se oli aiemmin, kun se oli rauhoittamassa öljysympäristöjä 1970-luvun aikana, sanoo Hugh Daigle, Petroleum Engineering University of Texas Austin. Kun oli asioita kuten isoja lainsäädäntöjärjestelmiä, järjestelmien rauhoittaminen, järjestelmien rauhoittaminen 55 kmh, ne ovat melko drastisia asioita.
Today he says it's more of a slow-moving crisis, and the main threat to consumers is a drastic change in price. As we keep drawing down the reserve, you're really limiting your ability to further control the prices that people are paying for refined products. Which is why all three analysts say oil prices will rise this summer. Dan Pickering says it could go up anywhere from 20 to 50 percent higher. I'm Kaylee Wells for Marketplace.
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Chapter 3: What factors influence the logistics of oil supply?
Wall Street on this Thursday. Tell you what, equities traders sure did like the geopolitical news of the day. We will have the details when we do the numbers.
The thing about this economy right now is that we are borrowing a lot of money, like way more than we have in the past. So the Treasury Department has been auctioning off a lot of long-term government debt this week, 30-year bonds today, about 10 years on Wednesday, which means we know what yield, which is to say what interest rate investors are demanding in exchange for lending the government money for years or even decades. Marketplace's Justin Ho explains what that means for where this economy might be going.
Yhdysvallat ovat suurin standardi hallitukselle. Ympäristöjä ympäri maailmaa aina näyttää yhdysvaltoja, jotta he voivat laittaa liittoa. Mutta joka kerta kysymys on, kuinka paljon he tarvitsevat rahaa.
Se tulee taas takaisin kompensaatioon. Onko sinulla kompensaatiota, että olet omassa turvallisuuden ympäristössä? Se on Lawrence Gillen, LPL-finanssialan järjestäjä. Hän sanoo, että investointeja on huomioitu, että paikat pysyvät jatkuvasti muutaman vuoden jälkeen ja jätetään mitä tahansa kiinnostuksia ne saavat niistä kohdista. Joten suurimpana on inflaatio, suurimpana on tehtävä.
Sanotaan, että se on todellinen palvelu, jota sinun saattaa saada vasta-alueiden mukaan. Seuraavaksi investoijat ovat tarjoaneet suurempia palveluja loppupuolella. Palvelut kahdessa vuodessa ovat tullut enemmän kuin puoli prosenttia, koska maa alkoi. Zachary Griffiths, kreditsivuiltaan, sanoo, että se on siksi, että investoijat toivovat, että Yhdysvallat tappaa inflaatioon hyökkäystä. Se on todella dramaattinen vaihtoehto, kuten näimme alussa vuodesta, ja se on seurannut inflaatioon huolimatta.
But yields on long-term government debt, as in 10- and 30-year bonds, haven't risen so quickly. Griffith says one reason is because rate hikes have long-term consequences. A higher policy rate environment in the near term, that does increase the risk that you have a more notable downturn in economic growth from a 10-year perspective versus a 2-year perspective.
Another factor that's keeping a lid on long-term yields is the expectation that the Strait of Hormuz will eventually open again. John Canavan is lead market analyst at Oxford Economics. It's a question of time, it's a question of when, but the broad consensus is certainly that's what's going to happen. Canavan says when it does, inflation will cool. And that optimism among market participants that that will happen has also limited the extent of the rise in long-term yields.
But Canavan says there are still some big factors that will push long-term yields higher, namely the national debt. Longer term, the drumbeat of deficit risks will just continue to grow louder and louder in the background. And that will put more upward pressure on long-term rates, even after inflation concerns go away. I'm Justin Ho for Marketplace.
It is unbelievable. It's nice to see IPOs getting so much attention. We got some hits coming up this summer. It's kind of hard to ignore it. It's like everywhere right now.
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Chapter 4: What is the current state of inflation and government debt?
Brown's organization and municipal officials pushed to get more people to offer up their homes for rent. The city reduced its registration fees for short-term rentals. Brown's group held training sessions for prospective hosts who wanted to make money from the influx of soccer fans. Everybody wished and opened up their homes hoping to get a piece of that. And then what that does, it's just an economics lesson, supply and demand.
As in the supply of Airbnbs and Verbos outpaced demand. That's held prices down, Brown says, and left a mixed bag for property owners. You might get lucky, you might get that booking, or you might not.
Overall, short-term rental bookings are up in the area 47% higher than the same time last year, according to AirDNA, a site that tracks global short-term rental data. Rates are up too, 65% compared to last year. And yet Jamie Lane, chief economist at AirDNA, says there are still a lot of available places in the region.
Tarkoitukset voivat olla todella vahvia, jolloin ympäristö yliopistossa näyttää olevan hieman vahvaa. Tarkoitukset voivat olla todella vahvia, jolloin ympäristö yliopistossa näyttää olevan hieman vahvaa.
Vuonna vuonna 2024 Roxanna Chaffee ja hänen isänsä ostivat kaupungin. He halusivat saada pitkän ajan osallistumisperiaatteita ennen kuin he ostivat sen ulkopuolella. Kuukaudet menivät läpi, paikka ei ollut valmisteltu, ja sitten jotkut ihmiset, jotka olivat vain ostaneet sen, kysyivät, voisivatko he ostaa sen. Chaffee laittoi tarjoilun hänen isänsälleen. Joten kirjoitin hänelle, ja hän vastasi nopeasti, että kyllä. Ei ollut, että puhumme siitä, ei ollut, että ajattelemme siitä, vaan aivan nopeasti kyllä.
They closed in late February for just over $300,000, which was about what Chaffee says they paid for it. Ultimately, she says, moving on was for the best. We never got a single World Cup booking up until we closed.
For homeowners still waiting for bookings, there is some time. VisitKC, the regional tourism bureau, confirmed that it still expects 650,000 visitors over the next few weeks, but it declined an interview request. And the last two matches in Kansas City are in the later stages of the tournament. We won't know which teams are playing for a few more weeks. So for now, Lily Stork is keeping her listing up and preparing to potentially move her family of four kids to her parents' house on short notice.
Jos jossain syystä me saamme syötä, meidän pitäisi rikottaa, mutta me teemme sitä. Ja hän on loppunut paikalleen. 500 dollaria päivänä, nyt lähdetään noin 2000. Minä olen Henri Appa Marketplaceista.
Coming up! I'd be like trying to make a birthday cake and there'd be somebody standing there with their dog to be seen. You never know when duty's gonna call, huh? First though, let's do the numbers.
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Chapter 5: What impact will upcoming IPOs have on the market?
Importit eivät ole myös sisällytettynä tuotantopriisindeksiin, mutta tuotantopriisindeksi sisältyy tuotantopriisistä, joita omaiset tuotantopriisit saavat tuotantopriisistä. Ja tuotantopriisit ovat ylhäällä. Nyt me todennäköisesti odotamme, että tuotantopriisit jatkuvat kasvamaan, mutta yhdessä on ei-perfeettinen yhteys.
Okay, now play this out like, I don't know, six months, and tell me where you sit on the whole being able to look through the energy shock, right? I mean, that's what Powell has said, Kevin Warsh may say something like that next week, I don't know, that in essence, without saying the word transitory, that's what they're saying.
No, jotta nämä numeroet jatkuvat olemaan suuria, se tarkoittaa, että paikkoja täytyy jatkaa kasvamaan. Tänä päivänä paikkoja käsitellään ehkä hieman vähemmän kuin aiemmin. Mitä tapahtuu ensi kuukaudella ja aiemmin?
There's a lot of geopolitical stuff that's going to go into that. But in order for those inflation numbers to continue to be high, then prices have to continue to rise. So I think that's what I would interpret as looking through. Prices are high now. We kind of know why. For the inflation rate to be sticky, they have to continue to rise, and they have to bleed from energy into other goods and services.
Tämä tapahtuu. Energiaa on kaikkialla. Koneella, ruokapakkeilla, koko Smashin kanssa.
Yes, it is. And, you know, if the labor markets are tight enough that workers have negotiating power and can negotiate higher wages, then we'll continue to see prices rise or inflation numbers be high. Right. Let me ask you, if I might, about inflation expectations, because, you know, as we know, what consumers think is going to happen can actually affect what kind of does happen. Is there a reason now that
to think that inflation expectations are still anchored, or are you tending toward the, hmm, we'll see what happens with inflation expectations with these numbers? I'm in the hmm camp. There's a lot that's going on. We've got the energy shock, we've got high demand for energy and investment fueling our AI boom. These are interesting times.
Yes, they are. I think there's a curse that goes along those lines. Karen McDaniel, she's at Arizona State. Professor McDaniel, thanks so much for your time. Thank you.
Vaikeuksia hyvän terveydenhuollon saamiseksi eivät ole yksinkertainen ihmisen kautta. Rural-Amerikka on ongelmassa, jossa ei ole tarpeeksi veterinääräisiä. Vetskoulu on kalliivinen ja ei tarvitse tehdä paljon kestävää kestävää kestävää. Se on ongelma, joka näyttää lähinnä kaikkien valtioiden kohdalla. Päätöksentekijät näyttävät, että suomalainen Indiana tarvitsee kestävää kestävää kestävää kestävää kestävää. Yleensä kaikki West Virginia on tarpeeksi.
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Chapter 6: How is short-term rental demand affected during the World Cup?
Olin isossa kaupungissa ja se oli niin yllättävää. Ja en tiedä, huomasin, että haluaisin olla ruotsissa työskentelemällä eläimillä. Hän suunnittelee menemään vet-kouluun, mutta se on kalliikkaa. Yleinen opiskelijan tehtävä on 200 000 dollaria.
Jos työskentelen näissä ruoan alueissa, voinko palata tehtävän, jonka minun täytyy palata kouluun? St. George on toivomassa apua. Yhdysvallan hallitus on vihdoin lisätty, kuinka paljon se palaa opiskelijoita ruoan vetopuolella. Wyoming on vain valmistellut jotain samanlaista. Bayermin apu ei voi tulla nopeasti. Se on neljä vuotta vetopuolella, joten se tarvitsee aikaa, ennen kuin lapset ovat työskentelemässä. Joten aikaisemmin...
We got an appointment in here right now. Firemen will keep vaccinating, calving, medicating and stitching up animals. That should be pretty numbed up. Like this paint horse named Scarlet. These kind of horses get cancerous tumors. So now we're just going to put a couple stitches in there. All stitched up, the horse walks out. Okay, just head out that door. Sure. There we go.
ja Bayram on seuraava kriittinen. Pieni-Wyomingissa olen Kaitlyn Tan Marketplaceista.
This final note on the way out today. A slice of the president's war with Iran that's getting short shrift. I am H.O. Inflation gets all the headlines, but there's an economic growth thing going on here too. The World Bank said today that global economic growth is on track to be the weakest it's been since the pandemic. Best case, we're looking at 2.5% growth this year. It was 2.9% last year. Worst case, 1.3%.
Our daily production team includes Andy Corbin, Maria Hollenhorst, Sarah Leeson, Sean McHenry and Sofia Terenzio. Will Story is the supervising senior producer and I'm Kai Rizdal. We will see you tomorrow, everybody. This is APM.
Järjestelmä on ollut mukana vuosien 1940-luvun aikana. Se liittyy järjestelmään silmällisiä iodiittipartikkoja, jotka vaikuttavat vettä kääntämään ja pysyvään, kuten jää tai puu. Ja vaikka järjestelmä on edelleen mahdollista vettä käsittelemään, se on tullut maailmanlaajuisena yrityksessä.
I'm Amy Scott, and this week on the How We Survive podcast, we're talking to Augustus Dorico, a 25-year-old former Teal Fellow and the founder of Rainmaker, a business that's racing to save the Great Salt Lake from collapse.
Cloud seeding is a tourniquet for our water supply situation. Maybe a damn good one, maybe more than a tourniquet. So is cloud seeding at scale the godsend solution it seems to be? Find out this week on How We Survive, available on your favorite podcast app.
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