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Planet Money

Do trade deficits matter?

09 Apr 2025

Transcription

Full Episode

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This is Planet Money from NPR.

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James Surowiecki is an economics writer for The Atlantic and a lover of one particular imported good.

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I drink coffee. I like Sumatran coffee. He buys his coffee from Indonesia. So last week when President Trump announced surprisingly high, surprisingly broad tariffs on almost every country in the world, including Indonesia, James thought of his coffee. One of the bizarre things about these tariffs is they're imposed on goods that we are never the United States can't make.

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To be fair, Hawaii does make coffee, but it's not even close to enough. So a new tariff on Indonesia means James's coffee is going to cost more. And James was looking at this new tariff. It was 32 percent and wondering how did they come up with that number? So he sets out to see if he can figure it out.

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52.725 - 60.751 Unidentified Speaker (Brief Interjection)

We're putting a 32 percent tariff on imports from Indonesia because they say Indonesia's tariff rate is 64 percent.

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They said the Trump administration had said these new tariffs were reciprocal. They were supposed to be the combination of the tariffs a country charges us, plus whatever other trade barriers they have on, like regulations or fees. And the Trump administration said Indonesia was effectively charging us 64 percent.

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But those numbers, they just did not seem right. And not just for Indonesia. So, I don't know, Vietnam at 90 percent or South Korea at 50 percent. And if you knew anything about the global trade regime, you knew those numbers just seemed totally out of whack.

100.336 - 117.264 Unidentified Speaker (Brief Interjection)

Totally out of whack. Because Indonesia does not actually charge the U.S. a 64% tariff. It does have a tariff on U.S. imports of less than 10%. And it does have other trade barriers, like people selling goods to Indonesia have to pay inspection fees. They have to get their food and beverage imports certified halal.

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But the cost of those barriers? No reasonable calculation can get you to an additional 50%.

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