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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 3061 CWSA 01/03/26

03 Jan 2026

Transcription

Chapter 1: What is the main topic discussed in this episode?

1.027 - 52.306 Scott Adams

Come on in. We'll check our comments. Make sure they're working on logos. Boom. There we go. Come on in. It is good to see all of you. I apologize again for my sketchy voice. I will do the best I can All right. Once we get about a thousand people in here. Oh, looks like we have what? Only three people on YouTube. All right. Come on in. Lots of news today.

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52.366 - 82.97 Scott Adams

But shall we start with a simultaneous sip? That's a yes. All right, people. If you want to join the simultaneous sip, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. The dopamine hit it today. The thing that makes everything better.

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83.01 - 118.345 Scott Adams

It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Oh, that was really good. But let's talk about the news. So I assume all of you know by now that there was some action in Venezuela. So I'll give you a little background on it as people storm in. And then we'll talk about what does it all mean?

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121.058 - 152.625 Scott Adams

But I should tell you that after the show, so after the podcast, Owen Gregorian will be hosting a Spaces After Party. Now, the plan was to, which is very nice of Owen, to ask people how I had influenced people. But I think the Venezuela story is going to overwhelm that, and that would be okay with me. So don't feel bad if you think talking about Venezuela is more interesting.

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153.506 - 176.626 Scott Adams

So I woke up this morning thinking, you know, maybe it'd be good for me not to be in the headlines for once, because I've been in the headlines for a few days. And look on X, and Dilbert is trending. Venezuela gets attacked, and Dilbert is still trending on X. So... Guess I'll have to go with it. All right.

177.547 - 206.532 Scott Adams

So, you know, I often tell you that if Trump has multiple options for doing something, he typically picks the option that looks the strongest. And he did it again. So I'm starting to think that you could predict his actions fairly accurately by just saying what's the strongest thing you could do. Now, you might say that the strongest thing would be to send in the whole military.

207.473 - 236.597 Scott Adams

But I would say stronger than that would be to send in special forces of some type and grab the leader of the country and take him back for legal process. To me, that seems like the strongest thing. I think. So that's what happened. So late at night, Trump authorized the military, specifically some helicopters.

237.458 - 267.721 Scott Adams

So I guess we sent our 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment, called SOAR, known as the Night Stalkers. So I guess we went in strong. There'd been a lot of practice, a lot of preparation. And allegedly, No casualties on the American side. None. Now, I have not heard if there were casualties on the Venezuelan side, but I imagine there were.

267.761 - 304.712 Scott Adams

So Trump watched the whole operation from some undisclosed place and watched them. I guess we have the ability to go through metal doors um and get people so maduro and his wife have now been arrested and brought back to america now the all the people who don't know anything about the constitution um are going to be arguing with other people who don't know much about the constitution

Chapter 2: What recent actions have taken place in Venezuela?

547.793 - 576.892 Scott Adams

All right. So there was tons of coordination between the DEA and the military and the CIA and the Department of Justice. So that part's impressive. And waiting in the wings, this is probable or at least possible replacement. A woman named Maria Karina Machado. who has won the Nobel Peace Prize already for being sort of the opposition.

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577.673 - 607.45 Scott Adams

But she would not really have been able to take over the country until Maduro was gone. So allegedly, there will be an election. Allegedly, that election will be unrigged. The reality is that, especially if Trump believes Venezuela was involved in rigging our elections, and he might, I don't know if he does, there might be a little payback happening here.

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608.311 - 641.754 Scott Adams

The payback would be, oh, well, good luck with your next election, but we're going to make sure that it goes our way. And when I say our way, I mean America gets a leader that will be on our side, essentially. that she will be called a puppet. And maybe that's true. Feels like it would be. Marco Rubio has told us that Maduro is not the legitimate leader. So that's kind of important. All right.

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644.037 - 681.835 Scott Adams

Now let's talk about the chessboard. This is the part I find fascinating. How long will it take before some part of social media says this is all Israel and blames Israel. I woke up this morning thinking, well, at least this won't be blamed on Israel, but it might be blamed on Israel. We'll take you through it. Excuse me. So there are a number of chess pieces.

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682.54 - 712.547 Scott Adams

And one of them is that Venezuela and Iran have been, historically, they've supported each other to get around sanctions and to get around other big economic problems. So Iran would be weakened by Venezuela falling. It would lose an ally. It would lose one way that they could have made some money in case their other sources got dried up.

713.692 - 750.99 Scott Adams

At the same time, by coincidence, there's all these uprisings in Iran. And Trump has said if the protesters get shot, that he would intervene militarily. Now, that didn't sound like as much of a threat until you see what he just did in Venezuela. So if you're Iran and you're the leaders of Iran and you're wondering, huh, will Trump really do that?

751.891 - 772.69 Scott Adams

Would Trump actually attack us and depose our leader? Well, nobody knows. It could be a bluff. But if you just watched Trump go into Venezuela as strong as you possibly could, it would be reasonable to worry about it if you were Iran. So could it be

773.092 - 803.439 Scott Adams

that you know that uh trump's timing is either lucky because it would make things go better in iran at least for the american side uh or is that you know is it planned or just purely coincidence i don't know but it's definitely going to make people start blah blah blah you know he only did it for israel You know that's coming. So that's not my claim, by the way.

804.24 - 833.062 Scott Adams

So I'm not making the claim that I know why it happened or what the timing was or anything. But I do wonder if the only reason is about the drugs. Because so far, the Trump administration is making it all about the drugs. But I've seen pushback. where people will say, no, Venezuela is not our biggest problem when it comes to drugs. So you wouldn't do all this if it's only about the drugs.

Chapter 3: What are the legal implications of the military action against Maduro?

1781.592 - 1813.889 Scott Adams

That's on us. Do you know why we're paying attention to it? I already gave you a hint. His name is Elon Musk, who boosted recent reports. Well, he's boosting a lot of reports from independent media about how bad things are. Would we be in this situation where people are really, really paying attention to fraud if Elon Musk did not do that or did not exist. No, I think he is full credit for that.

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1814.609 - 1833.25 Scott Adams

Again, it's really amazing. And then I'm having a problem reading the news lately because there's so many stories that look like one I've already seen but might not be. So can you tell me, is this a new story or did we already know?

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1833.871 - 1862.983 Scott Adams

that according to News Nation, that the assisted living facilities, oh, Gateway Fund is writing about this, that the assisted living facilities are often just somebody's house and there's no service there at all. Did we already know that? It feels like a repeat, but on the other hand, maybe it's just a new place and a new set of data. But in my bubble, every time I wake up,

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1863.824 - 1898.33 Scott Adams

somebody Republican usually is uncovering something fraudulent, and that's a good thing. Next, you may or may not be following the story of Act Blue. If you went onto the street and randomly stopped people and said, tell me what you know about Act Blue, how many people could answer that question? Now, my audience is very plugged in.

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1899.111 - 1923.227 Scott Adams

So probably half, three quarters of you would know what ActBlue is. But if you don't, they are a Democrat organization that raises money for a variety of Democrat candidates. But what they do that's special is that they take small donations. I know, I'll get to it. I'll get to it. They allegedly...

1923.781 - 1951.695 Scott Adams

allegedly take only small donations from American sources, and then they distribute it to candidates. The reality, and they're being investigated for this, I believe Trump has authorized the investigation. The reality might be, allegedly, that they're a fraudulent organization from top to bottom. And what they really do is they take

1952.198 - 1984.739 Scott Adams

large donations, maybe from Democrat billionaires, maybe from overseas, and then they pretend with fancy bookkeeping that it came from individuals. Now, that would be really, really illegal, but that's the accusation. So what if And again, this falls into that category of every day I wake up and there's new alleged fraud of massive scales.

1985.18 - 2005.003 Scott Adams

We're talking about hundreds of millions of dollars here. And I do believe that it's been demonstrated. Correct me if I'm wrong. There's plenty of evidence that one person's address has been used multiple times. That would be illegal because it means it's not real. Or that people who

2005.372 - 2031.666 Scott Adams

or not actively following politics, have been donating allegedly small dollar amounts for years, but they don't even know about it. If you go to their house and say, did you give money to Act Blue? They would say, what's that? No, they didn't. They didn't give any money. So even though it's an allegation, yeah, it's called subverfic,

Chapter 4: How does Trump's approach to Venezuela compare to historical precedents?

2216.813 - 2248.273 Scott Adams

But you would think you would be isolated. but what really is happening is this it's an immense diversified machine in which you can't even keep track of how many frauds there are within the larger scope of things now i would argue that the pandemic had that same quality that if you looked at the individual bad actors you would notice that there are people lying

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2248.777 - 2277.168 Scott Adams

and maybe people doing things for money, et cetera. But you wouldn't necessarily see the scope of it. The scope of it was unbelievable and also unbelievable. I said it twice because it mattered. That's the problem I had. In the beginning of the pandemic, I would hear reports of, let's say, data that was ignored. And I would say, yeah, that can happen. Data is ignored.

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2277.628 - 2304.962 Scott Adams

Somebody would say, this study was suppressed. And I'd say, yeah, yeah, things happen. Study could get suppressed. But my brain was at the time incapable of imagining the vast scope of the fraud. Did you have the same issue? You could tell that something was wrong and you could see the buckets of the wrongness. but you just couldn't wrap your head around how big it was.

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2305.462 - 2333.106 Scott Adams

Now, that's the same as these NGO frauds. You really couldn't wrap your head around how big it was, and therefore, you were frozen into inaction. Well, back to David Strom's point, remember how there were many, many claims of election irregularity? And I would hear them, and I'm guilty of this, totally guilty. And I would hear a claim, and I would say, yeah, Yeah, maybe that really did happen.

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2333.787 - 2343.54 Scott Adams

Maybe it did, maybe it didn't. But it's in this little bucket. Then you hear another one. You say, all right, well, there's more than one. It's in this little bucket.

2344.421 - 2371.206 Scott Adams

But it wasn't until maybe this year that we could understand that all the different ways that the election was, I think, rigged, in my opinion, that you would never be able to put your head around how massive the attempt of rigging was. And so you can't deal with it. So you default to, oh, shit happens. It's in a little bucket. If we catch people doing things, we'll try to take them to court.

2371.867 - 2398.391 Scott Adams

But it's not really, you know, it's not about the whole system. It is the whole system. So there needs to be a name. for these gigantic frauds that we can't recognize because we're only seeing the tree and we're not seeing the forest. Oh, wait, we already have that. All it is is another one of those, you can't see the forest for the trees.

2399.633 - 2431.379 Scott Adams

So you look at a tree, you're like, well, you know, kind of sucks that that tree's unhealthy. Hey, who cut down that tree? But if you're looking at the tree, you're missing that it's the forest. That might be a big deal. So my prediction for 2026 is that our understanding of the size of the election fraud, and we might be finding this out through ActBlue, for example, is enormous.

2432.099 - 2443.034 Scott Adams

We might find out that it's not a coincidence that electronic voting machines are used in battleground states. That might not be a coincidence.

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