Rosenberg Round-Up
Activity Overview
Episode publication activity over the past year
Episodes
Au Revoir
30 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Brother, Can You Spare a Job?
23 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
On this week’s episode of the Rosenberg Round-Up, we discuss what’s behind the recent rebound in equities and the changing cross-asset picture, as...
Powell to Set the Rate-Cutting Table at Jackson Hole
16 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
The September FOMC meeting is about how much to cut rates | A look at the Harris vs. Trump polls and what it means for markets | The case for gold is ...
“The Real Threat Is an Own Goal Not a Black Swan” | Brett House
14 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
In our latest special interview episode, we welcome seasoned market economist and current Columbia Business School professor Brett House to discuss th...
Navigating the Turbulence
09 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Taking stock after a volatile week | Macro data will drive markets | Going defensive Visit our sponsor Kalshi today and get $20 in credit to start...
Land of the Rising Yen
02 Aug 2024
Contributed by Lukas
The evolving global rate picture | Earnings to drive market in macro-lite week ahead | How to invest in the land of the rising Yen Visit our spons...
The Mag 7 Run Out of Ammo
25 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
The bull run has come to a grinding halt as large-cap tech retreats from overstretched valuations. But the concerning macro narrative driving the rest...
London Calling: The Case for a Post-Election Re-Rating in U.K. Assets
19 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Markets take a sharp turn | June activity data surprised to the upside, but Q2 GDP unlikely to impress | Emerging investment opportunities across the ...
Concerning Earnings: What to Look for in Q2 Reports
12 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Powell signaled the need for more “confidence” in his congressional testimony – did a light inflation print deliver it? We also touch on politic...
“Not a Bull Market, a Bifurcated Market” | David Rosenberg
09 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
In our latest special interview episode, we welcome back our Founder and President, David Rosenberg, to get his views on a perplexing stock market, wh...
Economic Consequences of the U.S. Election
05 Jul 2024
Contributed by Lukas
We reflect on a week dominated by global politics, and shine our spotlight on what the shifting probabilities around the U.S. election mean for market...
What a Mean-Reverting Savings Rate Would Mean for the Economy
28 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we cover a mixed bag in data, check in on Canadian inflation, and shine our spotlight on the U.S. savings rate and its impact on consumption...
Margin Revolution – How U.S. Inflation Will Fall to 2%
21 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we cover the extreme optimism in equity markets against a backdrop of softening economic data. We shine our spotlight on how declining prici...
Fed Does Its Best to Sound Hawkish — It Will Backfire
14 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we cover the Fed’s puzzling projections, falling inflation, and the European elections. We shine our spotlight on the ups and downs of a c...
The Cutting Cycle Commences
07 Jun 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we cover the onset of the global cutting cycle, as the BoC and the ECB took important first steps this week. Then we shine our spotlight bey...
Data Revisions, Rate Decisions, Growth Previsions
31 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we highlight the pile-up of negative data revisions that are changing the cyclical picture, we touch on the outlook for the Fed as its peers...
The Macro View From Europe | Gerhard Massenbauer
29 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
In our latest occasional interview episode, we welcome Gerhard Massenbauer, chief analyst at Treasury Scout, to the Rosenberg Roundup. Gerhardt is an ...
Setting the Record Straight on Household Balance Sheets
24 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we cover the latest signal from earnings, and we go toe-to-toe with the KC Fed on household balance sheets The Week in Review (0:36) — AI...
Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) Emerging Markets
17 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we cover the trifecta of soft data that’s sent stocks to new highs. Our spotlight shines on Emerging Market stocks, and what the (eventua...
It’s Not a Drag Getting Old: An Emerging Investment Theme
10 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, what a slowdown in nonfarm payrolls meant for markets, and how to position for the opportunity in America’s aging capital stock. The Week...
Laboring Over the Job Market Misconceptions
03 May 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we look back on Powell’s pushback, shine our spotlight on the labor market data, and drop by Canada to check in on growth prospects. The...
The Downside GDP Surprise was Less Than Surprising
26 Apr 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we dig into the combination of weak growth and hot consumer price inflation that nobody saw coming in the U.S. GDP report. Our spotlight is...
How Investors Should Prepare For the Day of Fiscal Reckoning | David Hay
24 Apr 2024
Contributed by Lukas
We welcome author, investor, activist, thinker, and co-CIO of advisory firm Evergreen Gavekal, David "The Haymaker" Hay onto the Rosenberg R...
Are Bulls Finally Seeing Red?
19 Apr 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, our spotlight is on our recent report on the wealth effects and its role as the driving force behind spending. The Week in Review (1:19) —...
Deconstructing “Weird Wednesday”
12 Apr 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we try to extract some meaning from a weird and wacky Wednesday, when a slightly warmer-than-expected CPI number sent markets haywire. Later...
Going for Gold
05 Apr 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, our spotlight is on our recent gold special report, along with a touch on some other commodities. The Week in Review (2:08) — A spring th...
Should We Still Be Worried About Regional Banks?
28 Mar 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we look back at some housing data and why there has been a pivot in that space. Our spotlight focuses on regional banks and why caution is ...
Fighting The Fiscal Boogeyman
22 Mar 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we dissect the Fed’s pleasingly boring meeting amid a poor run of data. Our spotlight is on the worrying fiscal situation in the U.S., an...
The Real, the Nominal, and the Fed
15 Mar 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we dissect recent inflation data and ask what it means for next week’s Fed meeting. Our spotlight focuses on Korea and its Japan-esque po...
Bitcoin Glitters, but is it Gold?
08 Mar 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we get deep on the big market themes, discussing the rally in gold and Bitcoin, and pondering “where to?” for equities? Our spotlight i...
The “Choose Your Own Adventure” Economy
01 Mar 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we discuss the scattered early signals on Q1 activity. Our Spotlight is on how “exceptional” the U.S. growth acceleration was in a glob...
The Magnificent Seven Are the New Nifty Fifty
23 Feb 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we discuss the Fed Minutes along with the LEI. Our spotlight is on the Nifty Fifty and how history tends to rhyme. The Week in Review (...
David Rosenberg on Why We’re Sticking to Our Guns
16 Feb 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week we sit down with Dave Rosenberg to talk about the hot start to the year for equity markets and the U.S. economy as a whole. Dave outlines wh...
U.S. Consumers Have a Strict Debt Only Diet
09 Feb 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This week, we take a look into U.S. household debt and credit, finding that consumers are looking far from “resilient.” We also host Marius Jongst...
“What's Priced In” to U.S. stocks
02 Feb 2024
Contributed by Lukas
This is the Rosenberg Round-Up, hosted by Dylan Smith, Senior Economist at Rosenberg Research. On this week’s episode, we host Bhawana Chhabra, CFA,...
David Rosenberg on the 2024 Outlook
26 Jan 2024
Contributed by Lukas
Welcome to the inaugural episode of Rosenberg Round-Up, hosted by Dylan Smith, Vice President and Senior Economist at Rosenberg Research. On this week...