Maley Market Strategy Podcast
Episodes
What is Really Driving Today's Stock Market?
07 May 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we talk about the idea that although stronger earnings growth is playing a key role in the stock market advance...there is ano...
Will Tech Earnings Offset Oil Prices and Bond Yields Back at their Highs?
29 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we talk about our concerns with the fact that the tech stocks (especially the chips) are getting quite overbought at a time wh...
How Long Before Global Shortages Impact the Global Economy and Markets
23 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we spend a lot of time discussing the misconceptions about what is driving the stock market right now. We are only a few wee...
Trump will "TACO" Again to Avoid a "Shortage" Crisis.
14 Apr 2026
Contributed by Lukas
The global economy is already looking at some real shortages of key commodities. If the blockade lasts for any material amount of time (just a few w...
Jawboning the Markets won't Work as Well this Year....Still LOTS of Risk.
31 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we touch on the thought that since the President cannot flip the switch and change on the market reacts to the war in the Midd...
Markets: It's not all about the Strait of Hormuz
24 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss the difference between what was going on in the markets at this point last year compared to now. The President ca...
The War will Drag on...and Stocks Will Wake up to this Soon.
17 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
The real goal of the war in the Middle East is to destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities and remove their uranium. This will take time, so the war will...
For the markets, it's not just the war in Iran that investors should be focused on.
10 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
As much as the price of oil is extremely important to the economy and the markets, we also have a credit market that is experiencing growing stress. ...
The Stock Market Holds Up Well, But Don't Be Complacent
04 Mar 2026
Contributed by Lukas
The reaction in the stock market to the war in Iran has been quite benign. However, with the issues surrounding AI still out there...and the level o...
Investors are talking cautiously, but still acting in a very complacent manner.
26 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we discuss the impact of Nvidia's earnings and why the chip stock remain extremely important for the rest of the stock market....
Will the "Trump Put" be a Little Bit Further "out of the market" in Coming Weeks?
10 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week’s edition, we discuss how much of an impact the crash in Bitcoin had on other risk assets…and whether that impact will last. We also ...
Gold/Silver: We were bullish early (last June)...& bearish at the top. What Next?
03 Feb 2026
Contributed by Lukas
With silver and gold, we were very bullish...very early...and that worked well. We were also spot-on in looking for a pullback recently. This week...
There are some REAL cracks in the global bond markets forming today.
28 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we touch on how this week's earnings from the four Mag 7 companies that report will be important. We also touch on some key ...
Higher long-term yields are creating real risks for the stock market.
21 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss how the breakout in long-term bond yields in the US (and other countries...like Japan) are raising the risks in the...
Earnings season begins at a time when the stock market is priced for perfection
13 Jan 2026
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discussed the implications for the markets of the new developments on the political front (between the Administration &...
Who Will Be the New Leaders of the Stock Market in 2026?
24 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we discuss why it is quite unlikely that the tech stocks will provide the kind of leadership that it has in recent years. Mo...
Why the AI Stocks Will Likely Come Under More Pressure in Janaury
16 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we discuss why one important group of investors will not be as reluctant as they are right now to lower their exposure to the ...
Why This Fed Meeting Will Be Even More Important than Most
09 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The "set up" for the bond market and the stock market are very different as we head into the Fed's December meeting. Why discuss why we believe this...
The Best Investment Asset Class for the Next Several Years
02 Dec 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss why one key asset class should outperform all others...over BOTH the near-term AND the longer-term...and who the wi...
The Stock Market Still Stands at a CRITICAL Juncture
25 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we discuss how some subtle, BUT IMPORTANT, changes have taken place in the AI narrative, in the Fed's stance, and in the credi...
Two Key Issues HAVE Changed in the Stock and Bond Markets
18 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we talk about how something very important HAS changed with both the AI trade and with the Fed. This is taking place at a ti...
The End of the Government Shutdown is not a Big Deal for Stocks.
11 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The end of the government shutdown is positive, but since it didn't hurt the market, it won't help it for long now that it's over. Instead, the acti...
The Chip Stocks are Now Ripe for a Near-Term Pullback.
05 Nov 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we discuss why no matter where the market is going over the intermediate and long-term, it's ripe for a near-term pullback...l...
At Some Point Soon, the Stock Market will Need More Actual Profits from AI
28 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we describe why the stock market is at a critical juncture and why this week's Fed meeting and (especially) the earnings from ...
The Stock Market is in a Bubble, but Bubble can last a long time. Stay VERY nimble.
22 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
After seeing Beyond Meat rally 1,400% at one point this week, there is little question that the is an extreme level of speculation in the stock market...
The US/China tariff issues is not going away
14 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss why the tariff situation with China is not going away. China has not had to give in much at all......Also, the up...
How to Play a Stock Market Bubble
09 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The stock market is definitely in a bubble, but this does not mean that it cannot move higher before it bursts. We talk about where to play things a...
Which Lagging Tech Stocks Can Play Catch Up Going Forward?
02 Oct 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss the technical outlook for the major stock averages...as well as for the key technology ETFs. We also highlight tw...
Bond Markets are Finally Fearing Budget Deficits
23 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we discuss why it is becoming very apparent that global sovereign debt markets are finally starting to price-in the problems t...
Stock market Breakout...or Breakdown?
16 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we talk about how this momentum driven market could still rally further...and what groups will lead the way if it does. Howe...
Lower rates are actually (frequently) negative for the stock market.
09 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we discuss how the history of the past 25 years shows that a meaningful drop in interest rates usually signals an outside slow...
Long-term Rates are Determined More & More by Budget Issues Instead of Inflation
04 Sep 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss how the rise in GLOBAL long-term interest rates is showing that the bond market is finally starting to seriously ta...
Podcast: The Fed Won't Cut Rates Aggressively Until the Economy
19 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
It this week's edition, we spend a lot of time talking about why investors should be careful about assuming that the Fed will cut aggressively (at all...
Despite Monday's Bounce, the Risks in Stock Market are Growing
05 Aug 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, Mary and I discuss some of the newest developments in the marketplace and how they're showing some concerning cracks in this r...
Stock Market Bubbles Don't End With Mere Corrections or Mild Bear Markets
29 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's edition, we discuss why the odds are much higher than most investors realize that the stock market is very likely getting very close to...
Misinterpreting the Fed is a big mistake for investors
23 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this weekend's podcast, Mary and I discuss which earnings reports will have the biggest impact on the markets this week. However, we also talk ab...
Opportunities in a VERY Expensive Stock Market
15 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
It this week's edition, we review a list of some of the very profitable calls we've made so far this year...and which ones should still work going for...
Record Highs for Stocks. Is Today's Euphoria Justified?
09 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we discuss why although the new record in the stock market is impressive, many risks still abound. Therefore, having SOME ca...
Big Breakout in the Bank Stocks
01 Jul 2025
Contributed by Lukas
With the cease fire in the Middle East, the level of risk in the stock market has come down, but it's still higher than the potential reward. So, in...
Does the De-escalation in the Middle East Mean Clear Sailing For Stocks?
24 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The developments out of the Middle East have helped the risk-reward equation, but it it is still weighted towards the side of risk. The fact that th...
The Downside Risk for the Stock Market is Much Bigger than the Upside Potential
17 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Given how expensive the stock market has become once again...and now with geopolitical risks rising...the upside potential is only about 3%-5%. Howe...
Hi Yo Silver!.....A Key Breakout in the Precious Metal
11 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's podcast, we talk about why the stock market could easily see a new all-time high, but there are still some significant risks for the lo...
The Risk/Reward Equation for Stocks has Shifted
04 Jun 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The upside potential for the stock market is a new all-time high, but that still keeps the upside at about 5%-6%. However, the downside risks are fo...
Stock Market: The "all clear" signals are premature.
28 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The momentum in the stock market is strong, so it could make a new all-time high. However, investors seem to be equating the fact that we're not goi...
Lower tariffs with China Don't Solve All the Problems
21 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The agreement between the US and China on tariffs does lower the odds of recession. However, there are still other reasons to be concerns about toda...
Has the China Trade Agreement Really Removed ALL of the Headwinds?
14 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The reaction to the foundation for a trade agreement between the US and China is certainly positive. However, there are still several very important...
The Stock Market Stands at a KEY Technical Juncture
14 May 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The fundamental outlook for the stock market is not strong enough to justify a further rally from current levels. That said, the major averages are ...
Slower economic growth is bearish for a (still) expensive stock market. (Duh)
30 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The economy is weakening and earnings are falling. This is not good a tall for a stock market that is still very expensive.....The stock market cann...
A significant decline in the earnings outlook is unavoidable
23 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Even if Trump keeps "blinking" on the trade issue, a further decline in earnings estimates is unavoidable. The trade issue will merely turn an inevi...
The Market's "Rest Process" is Far From Over
17 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The stock market needed to go through a "reset process" even if the tariff issue never developed. However, since it has developed, this "process" wi...
It's Not 1987, But Investor Still Need To Be VERY Nimble.
08 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Our call for a deep correction in January has been spot on. The market is now ripe for a sharp bounce, but the the longer-term outlook is complicate...
Tariffs? Lower earnings growth is the real problem for stocks.
01 Apr 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Will we get a "buy the news rection" to the tariff announcement this week? (What does "buy the news" mean? We answer that question this week.).......
Expensive Markets Never Bottom After Just a 10% Correction
25 Mar 2025
Contributed by Lukas
There is so much more going on with the recent stock market correction than just the tariff issue. Therefore, the odds of further weakness before we...
The Initial Reactions To Fed Announcements are Frequently Wrong
20 Mar 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The Fed just acknowledged that growth is going to be slower in 2025 and in 2026. That is not good for a stock market that is still quite expensive.....
The Stock Market "Reset" Process Will Take Months To Playout
11 Mar 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The tariff issue may have been a key catalyst for the recent stock market decline, but there are many other issues involved as well. This is the beg...
Stock Market: Sell the bounces
09 Mar 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The recent swoon in the stock market is not just due to the tariff issue. There are several headwinds, so there is more weakness to come. The stra...
Stock Market Warning: Bounces Should Now Be Sold
27 Feb 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Several new very important developments have put today's expensive stock market at a risk of a meaningful decline. We'll see bounces along the way.....
The Chorus Grows for the Cracks in the Consumer
21 Feb 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In this week's episode, we discuss how the warning signals for the consumer are becoming much larger...and how this could have an important impact on ...
Beware: Real Tariffs Are Definitely Coming
16 Feb 2025
Contributed by Lukas
Trump's tariff threats are not empty threats. They're coming and they'll impact the markets. Also, our short-term trades are working exceptionally...
Tariffs Still Dangerous For Markets
07 Feb 2025
Contributed by Lukas
The recent tariffs on Canada & Mexico were easy victories for the President. The tariffs on China and the upcoming tariffs on Europe will be muc...
Important Changes For The Stock Market
03 Feb 2025
Contributed by Lukas
In December, we had the Fed's change in tactics. In January, DeepSeek changed the outlook for earnings. Now, we have aggressive tariffs. These c...
The Stock Market on Edge
29 Jan 2025
Contributed by Lukas
After another great year, the stock market's outlook is much less clear for 2025. The new President's proposals seem positive for the economy, but t...