US-Iran ceasefire: Where do things stand?

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The Pat Kenny Show 15 min 4 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What recent developments have occurred in US-Iran relations?

Pat Kenny 0:01
Now we're going to the developments internationally now.
Gerry Arthurs 0:14
A ceasefire between Washington and Tehran appears to have created a diplomatic opening. Both sides agreeing to further talks over Iran's nuclear programme. and the future relations between their two countries. And Witkoff is on his way to Switzerland to start the technical aspect of those talks. But whether he is equipped to so do is another question entirely. Most critics argue that the agreement leaves many of the most difficult questions unanswered, while others are questioning whether the ceasefire can actually survive all the political pressures in Israel, Iran, and in the United States. But it's interesting that during the week, at a press briefing in the White House on Wednesday, the U.S. Vice President, J.D.
Gerry Arthurs 0:54
Vance, did something that very few American politicians ever do, and that is he criticized Israel. Specifically, he criticized members of the Israeli government for attacking President Trump over the U.S.-Iran agreement. And don't forget, this is a man who is a heartbeat away from the presidency.
JD Vance 1:11
I saw the Axios report that Netanyahu is fuming. That's not reflective of the conversations that I've had with him, but maybe he's saying something to somebody else that he's not saying to me.

How does the ceasefire impact Iran's nuclear negotiations?

JD Vance 1:23
What I will say, and this does bother me, is that you've seen people within Bibi's cabinet who have come out and attacked the deal, and in some ways very personally attacked the President of the United States. And I guess my message to them would be twofold. Number one, Donald J. Trump is the only head of state in the entire world who is sympathetic to the nation of Israel at this moment in time. And he happens to be the head of state of the world's superpower. If I was in the cabinet of the Israeli government, I might not be attacking the only powerful ally that I have anywhere left in the entire world. And the second message I would give to some of those cabinet members, Bibi, to his credit, has not gone down this path, but to some of these cabinet members in Israel who are attacking the President of the United States, the other thing that I would say is that over the last three months,
JD Vance 2:14
Two thirds of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax dollars. The problem for Israel is not Donald J. Trump. And anybody in Israel who thinks their biggest problem is the president of the United States needs to wake up and smell the reality of the situation that country is in.
Gerry Arthurs 2:39
a very stark threat to Israel. Don't forget who's paying the bill. Don't forget who's making and providing the weaponry that you have at your disposal to defend your territory. Well, to help us make sense of where things stand, I'm joined now by Gerry Arthurs, lecturer in international relations and politics at Southeast Technological University. Gerry, good morning.

What political pressures could affect the ceasefire's longevity?

Gerry Arthurs 2:57
Good morning, Pat. Delighted to be here. Interesting to hear that statement from Vance. It's very stark and it's telling the Israelis what many people internationally have been saying to them but very few in the United States have articulated.
David McCullagh 3:10
Indeed, but J.D. Vance seems to be backing up President Trump himself, who has been publicly critical of Bibi in the last week or so. And he referred to Hezbollah's attacks as being a pinprick this week. And you can imagine how that went down with Israeli political opinion. Bibi's in a bit of a bind. If he undermines the deal, he's going to alienate Vance and Trump. But it's a deeply unpopular memorandum of understanding. across the vast swathe of political opinion in Israel.
Gerry Arthurs 3:38
Now, at the moment, there are still exchanges of fire in the territory of Lebanon itself. And we're not sure whether these are just the, if you like, the dying embers of the conflict because they have agreed a ceasefire or whether or not this is a deliberate provocation by the Israelis hoping that they'll get a response that will scupper the deal.

How is Israel responding to the US-Iran agreement?

David McCullagh 3:59
Well, the US military intelligence anticipate that Israel will continue attacks to try to provoke Hezbollah.

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